
News
2 May 2013 - Pengana Australian Equities Fund
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Manager Comments | As at March 31st, cash (including notes and preference shares) represented 32% of the Fund. The top five holdings by value were: DUET, ANZ Bank, News, Telstra and NAB. The largest positive contributors to the Quarter’s performance included NAB, News Corporation, ANZ, DUET Group, Seven West Media, Ainsworth Game Technology, Seven Group Holdings, Resmed and Myer Holdings. It is particularly pleasing that there were no detractors over the quarter. The Fund had an active March Quarter, acquiring several new holdings including Caltex, Fairfax and Speciality Fashion Group. In addition, the Fund deployed cash into existing holdings including Duet Group, Telstra, ANZ, Woolworths, Seven West Media and McMillan Shakespeare. The Fund’s exposure to non-Australian dollar earnings streams (inclusive of companies with global earnings profiles such as Resmed and News Corporation, NZ based companies and US dollar exposure) stands at 16.6%. The Fund continued its policy of maximising the cash or “near cash” rates available by acquiring several short dated hybrids at attractive rates. The Fund disposed of its holdings in CSL, Myer, Mastermyne Group and Amcom Telecommunications. The Fund also trimmed its holdings in Credit Corp, NIB Holdings and Tatts Group. While the consensus outlook for the global economy remains gloomy, tentative signs of economic recovery are beginning to emerge. Coordinated efforts by governments through a combination of rescue packages, “extremely loose” monetary policies and large stimulatory spending programs do appear to be having some positive effects. Given the extent of these wholesale efforts (that have included even the proverbial kitchen sink being thrown at the problem) one shudders to think what the implications of no reaction would have been. However, as pragmatic investors the Fund remains alert for those well managed companies with the business models and balance sheets to take advantage of the following dynamics - a) The US economy’s ability to consistently reinvent itself combined with the potential “game changer” of becoming energy self sufficient due to its recently accessible (and massive) oil shale reserves; b) The Chinese authorities efforts to reinvigorate (or at least stabilise) economic growth may be successful and c) The significant reduction in interest rates domestically may be creating a base for consumer confidence. |
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1 May 2013 - Pengana Asia Special Events (Onshore) Fund
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Fund Overview | The Fund seeks to profit from trading securities which are primarily subject to corporate events or from trading-related securities which the Investment Manager believes are mispriced by the market. The Fund invests in securities that are listed on Asian stock markets and other markets where related securities may be listed and in securities which are listed on markets outside of Asia where more than 70% (by assets or earnings) of the underlying business originates from an Asian country. The Fund aims to generate consistently positive returns which have a low correlation to the Asian stock markets. The objective is to generate 10-20% pa with a standard deviation of 6-10% |
Manager Comments | The Fund finished up 3.3% for the first quarter of 2013. Earnings Surprise was the biggest positive contributor to performance over the quarter, followed by the Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A) and Capital Management strategies. The Fund generated strong returns in most markets, particularly Singapore, Japan and China. The Fund’s gross and net exposure for March averaged 183% and 14% respectively. Approximately 30% of the gross exposure relates to M&A, with Capital Management, Earnings Surprise and Stubs trades also receiving meaningful allocations. Markets began the year upbeat with the “fiscal cliff” overhang in the US evaporating and investors welcoming the improved macroeconomic environment. In March, macro headwinds out of Cyprus dominated headlines, briefly spooking markets. Volatility, measured through the VIX index, spiked briefly in late February but spent most of the period in the 12 to 14 range. After a healthy start to the year in January and February in terms of M&A activity, March was a quiet month with the Fund getting involved in 2 new situations. However, the volatility in the market has created opportunities in other strategies and a greater capital allocation towards the Stubs sub-strategy in particular. We have a number of potential deal bump/re-rate situations in the M&A portfolio with visible short term catalysts. |
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30 Apr 2013 - BlackRock Multi Opportunity Fund
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Fund Overview | - Australian and International Equity Long/Short - Global Fixed Income Long/Short - Global Macro - Commodity Alpha - Alpha Transport The Fund's goal is to provide investors with a source of consistent, risk-controlled, absolute returns that are over time, expected to have low correlations with the returns of major asset classes. The Fund aims to achieve a return of 8% p.a. before fees, above the RBA Cash Rate Target over rolling 3 year periods. In order to achieve its expected return objective, the Fund will target a total expected risk of between 4-6% p.a. over the same rolling 3 year period. |
Manager Comments | The manager notes that global markets started the year strongly with a broad rally in equities in the first quarter. Japanese equities out-performed most other markets, rallying 21% buoyed by anticipated aggressive monetary policy easing under the new Abe regime. US equities finished up 11%, while equity returns in Europe were more mixed; German equities finished up 3.7% and Italian equities ended the quarter 6.2% lower due to the uncertain Italian election outcome. Despite the rally in equities, bond prices in most major markets generally firmed as investors retreated to safe have bonds following a resumption of concerns in peripheral Europe with the banking sector bailout in Cyprus and weaker data across Europe. The Multi-Opportunity Fund delivered positive performance in the first quarter. The fund returned 2.78% versus the RBA cash benchmark return of 0.71%, thereby delivering alpha of 2.07%. This is a solid start for the 2013 year to date. The fund delivered positive returns in each of the 3 months of the quarter. The European Equity Long/Short, Fixed Income Global Alpha, Global Equity Long/Short, Global Macro and Commodity Long/Short strategies added value while International Alpha Transport was relatively flat and the Australian Equity Market Neutral strategies detracted from performance. |
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29 Apr 2013 - Pengana Australian Equities Market Neutral Fund
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Manager Comments | Two of the Fund's largest long positions in March were McMillan Shakespeare and Sirtex Medical, while two of the largest short positions were Transpacific Industries and Duet. Momentum was the best performing investment theme in our model for the month followed by Quality with small contributions from Earnings Revisions and Value. Momentum captures share price movements that are based on previous performance over the longer and short terms. With most of the performance coming from the longer term component of this factor, stock prices in March continued to follow a low risk high yield theme as risk appetite clearly stays out of favour. While this theme has been continuing for some time, the manager is starting to see a more discerning market with increased focus on the underlying fundamental Quality of stocks and their ability to maintain dividend policies. While the market is less concerned with Earnings Revisions and Value themes at this point, the performance from shorter term Momentum themes particularly across the defensive sectors indicates that the market is beginning to be more selective with stocks where valuations are stretched and earnings growth remains weak. |
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27 Apr 2013 - Hedge Clippings
We recently reviewed an article in The Economist which provided an excellent summary of the challenges of establishing a hedge fund in the current environment, even if the article's title, "Launch Bad" left a little to desired, assuming it wasn't a simple typo. Actually the first sentence was somewhat off the mark also, claiming that when starting a hedge fund "bar inheritance or winning the lottery, there are few swifter paths to immense riches".
However, back to the excellent article which (excluding the title and the first sentence) does paint an accurate picture of the challenges facing not only any aspiring fund manager, but the vast majority of the existing funds as well.
Although the Economist's focus was naturally on the challenges in the US and Europe there are many parallels in Australia for aspiring managers, with increased due diligence, a focus on fees, and regulations all featuring to a greater or lesser degree. What is interesting to us is that there have been a number of start up funds in the past 12-18 months, with the trend being towards better levels of strategic thought, business process, and risk management than in the past.
As a result the investors who back early stage managers continue to do so partly because research shows that while not without some risks, early stage, smaller or boutique fund managers provide significantly better returns, better transparency and more personal investor relations. Read the balance of our review here.
Performance and News Updates on www.fundmonitors.com this week:
Magellan Global Fund was up 1.92% in March 2013 taking its 12 month performance to 19.78% as compared to an index (MSCI World Net) return of 11.1%. All stocks in the portfolio produced positive local currency returns and the portfolio was fully invested.
Auscap Long Short Australian Equities Fund had a strong return of 1.46% over March with an average next exposure of 116.5%. Performance benefited from exposure to property trusts, healthcare and materials sectors and avoiding the mining sector
Allard Investment Fund fell 2.1% over March impacted by the $A and generally weaker Asian markets. Twelve month performance was 6.72% and since inception performance 8.47% net compound annual return. Notable is the Funds low volatility at around two-thirds of the MSCI Asia Pacific ex Japan Index.
Monash Absolute Investment Fund returned a solid 2% over March bringing its six month return to 17.17%, achieved with an average net exposure of 62%. The portfolio avoided defensives, Telstra, consumer staples and utilities.
Continuing our successful Meet the Manager presentation series on Thursday 16 May, AFM is holding a city lunch time briefing featuring Jack Lowenstein from Morphic Asset Management. Contact us to reserve your seat.
As a tribute to yesterdays ANZAC Day, we would like to show this short clip of The Last Post from the Sydney Symphony.
On that note, I hope you have a happy and healthy weekend!
Regards,
Chris
CEO, AUSTRALIAN FUND MONITORS
26 Apr 2013 - Early stage managers provide both risk and rewards
A recent article in The Economist provided an excellent overview of the challenges of establishing a hedge fund in the current environment, even if the article's title, "Launch Bad" left a little to desired, assuming it wasn't a simple typo. Actually the first sentence was somewhat off the mark also, claiming that "bar inheritance or winning the lottery, there are few swifter paths to immense riches".
It is estimated that there are over 20,000 absolute such funds globally, variously described as absolute return, alternative or hedge funds. There are no doubt some which have made their founders immensely wealthy, but in spite of their profile they are a significant minority, and almost none have done it swiftly. The Economist should know better.
However, back to the excellent article (excluding the title and the first sentence) which does paint an accurate picture of the challenges facing not only any aspiring fund manager, but the vast majority of the existing funds as well.
The article focuses on the increased level of due diligence and compliance which institutional investors in particular focus on, an area that is frequently difficult for new and emerging managers to tick the appropriate boxes. Bernie Madoff of course made things more difficult in this regard, but with the increased institutional investment, plus the risk averse post GFC world, this was always going to be the trend.
Along with due diligence from prospective investors the current crop of new managers also face increasing regulatory hurdles, particularly in the USA and UK/Europe. Australia's regulations have remained reasonably constant and consistent, (short selling bans aside) but that may be because they were better to start with.
Fees remain under pressure, but that is probably consistent with margins in most other industries, and particularly in financial services. In addition, any industry that emerges into the mainstream is always going to face competitive pricing pressure.
The initial capital raising process is certainly more difficult than it was seven or eight years ago. Back then the big investment banks would toss anywhere from $50 to $500 million to a star trading team wanting to leave the desk and set up on their own, just to ensure they could feed on the fees from prime brokerage operations including leverage, brokerage and stock lending.
Now many start ups have little other than choice of the three F's (friends, family and fools) or a couple of seed investors with which to build the three year track record that most institutions, asset allocators and research houses demand. Umbrella groups or incubators in Australia such as Bennelong, Ascalon and Pengana generally prefer a decent track record prior to risking their capital and reputation by investing in an early stage or start up manager.
There are exceptions, mainly those former star portfolio manager with a prior high profile who gain the backing of an institution or distribution house, but they are certainly in the minority. All this leads to the question, why bother?
For some it's the opportunity, some a necessity as the big banks close their proprietary trading desks as a result of the Volker Rule in the US. For others, the challenge, or wish to prove their own worth after ten or twenty years under the perceived security of a broad corporate roof.
But what of the investors who back them and take the risk of allocating to early stage manager? Reduced fees certainly don't make the difference, but all the research shows that early stage, smaller or boutique fund managers provide significantly better returns, better transparency and more personal investor relations.
It is open to debate if this improved performance is due to the alignment of interests, managing smaller pools of capital, or lower levels of bureaucracy, but it hasn't changed much over the past decade.
So much so that the big end of town is trending back to funding start ups, but with the added incentive of sharing the revenue when they're successful. As in the past however, and in spite of the impression given by The Economist, only a handful make it to the front pages, and almost all will take a decade at least to confirm their position.
Hardly swift or overnight success, and only if they provide their investors their promised, or hoped for, returns.
Chris Gosselin
CEO, Australian Fund Monitors
26 Apr 2013 - Meet the Manager
In 2012, AFM hosted a series of lunch presentations entitled "Understanding Hedge Funds" which provided investors with a more balanced view on the sector than is sometimes portrayed in the media. Following feedback from a number of our guests we also organised briefings and presentations for a small group of investors to "meet the manager" and hear from individual fund managers in person.
Our "Meet the Manager" briefings will be held every month, over breakfast or lunch and will showcase AFM's Fund Manager clients, their available Funds and views of the current market and opportunities ahead.
If you are interested in attending any of AFM's "Meet the Manager" briefings, please reply by email.
Fund Managers wishing to participate in the presentation series are invited to contact Chris Gosselin, CEO, to discuss the opportunity.
26 Apr 2013 - Monash Absolute Investment Fund
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Fund Overview | The Fund places a high priority on capital preservation, and have an absolute return focus in accepting market risk. The Manager employs a comprehensive approach to making investment decisions utilising value, growth and discounted cash flow styles. The portfolio is somewhat concentrated and the manager looks to diversify the portfolio across industries and themes rather than staying near an index. The portfolio may at times have a large amount of cash or other protection. |
Manager Comments | At the end of the month the portfolio had nine Outlook Driven stocks, nine Event Driven stocks and two sets of Pairs Trades. Gross exposure was 71% and our net exposure was 61%. The portfolio continues to avoid well covered defensives, preferring cash if there is no better alternative. It has no Telstra, consumer staples or utilities. However, the manager would be happy to invest in yield stocks with reliable growth at the right price as a result the Fund owns only one bank, NAB (apart from a CBA/Westpac pair trade). At the other end of the risk spectrum, there are no large miners and the Fund continues to look for more growth stocks with compelling valuations. |
More Information | » View detailed profile of this fund |
24 Apr 2013 - Allard Investment Fund
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Manager Comments | The Fund's performance is notable for its low level of volatility with five year annualised volatility of 9.7% as compared to the MSCI Asia Pacific ex Japan volatility over the same period of 14.8%. In terms of geographic exposures the Fund was allocated; China/Hong Kong 29.7%, Singapore 12.5%,Korea 9.7%, India 6.3% and others 2%. Notably cash and fixed income was 31.7% of the portfolio. In terms of industry the largest exposure was financial services 15.7% followed by conglomerates 12.2%, telecomms 8.0% and retail 6.4% with other sectors 26%. The Fund's top 5 holdings are 36.4% with the next five holdings 15.7%. |
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23 Apr 2013 - Auscap Long Short Australian Equities Fund
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Fund Overview | The Fund focuses on fundamental long and short investments. The Fund may utilise a multi-strategy approach if short term opportunities to increase returns, hedge the portfolio, protect capital or minimise volatility are found. The Fund is a high conviction fund and the combined portfolio will typically have 25-45 positions, investing primarily in stocks in the ASX200. The Fund may be net long, short or neutral depending on the strategies employed at the time. The Fund may hold cash so that it is in a position to take advantage of market volatility and compelling investment opportunities as and when they arise. The Fund may be geared up to 200% gross long or short and up to 150% net long or short. |
Manager Comments | Average gross capital employed by the Fund was 161.7% long and 45.2% short. Average net exposure over the month was +116.5%. At the end of the month the Fund had 29 long positions and 11 short positions. The Fund’s biggest exposures at month end were spread across the consumer discretionary, industrials, property trust (financials subset), healthcare & materials sectors. The Fund’s positive performance was a result of exposure to a number of particular sectors. On the long side, the Fund was invested in select property trusts, telcos and utilities for their strong growing dividends and earnings certainty. The Fund also had positions in the media and consumer discretionary space as a play on a slowly recovering east coast economy. On the short side the Fund had select positions in the healthcare space where high expectations had not been met through the reporting season. The Fund has largely avoided sectors with a high degree of uncertainty and low visibility around future earnings, such as the mining sector. |
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