Quay podcast: How high rates are impacting REITs

Quay Global Investors

 September 2023

Quay's Co-Principal and Portfolio Manager, Justin Blaess, speaks with Bennelong Account Director, Jodie Saw, about the impact of high rates on REITs (less of an issue than most expect), the mismatch between supply and demand (the main drivers of return), the opportunities emerging globally, and Quay's long-term earnings outlook.

Funds operated by this manager:

Quay Global Real Estate Fund (AUD Hedged), Quay Global Real Estate Fund (Unhedged)

For more insights from Quay Global Investors, visit quaygi.com

The content contained in this audio represents the opinions of the speakers. The speakers may hold either long or short positions in securities of various companies discussed in the audio. This commentary in no way constitutes a solicitation of business or investment advice. It is intended solely as an avenue for the speakers to express their personal views on investing and for the entertainment of the listener.

Episode 37: Cultivating change - Nestlé's leading approach on sustainability and creating shared value

Magellan Asset Management

August 2023

In this episode, Magellan's Portfolio Manager Elisa Di Marco, and Investment Analyst, Tracey Wahlberg discuss how environmental values are driving corporate culture with Rob Cameron, Nestlé's Global Head of Public Affairs. They talk through the company's net zero approach, and its commitment in leading its supply chain to embrace regenerative agriculture, recycling, packaging innovation and human rights. And Rob Cameron explains how these initiatives benefit shareholders, through growth opportunities and cost discipline.

Funds operated by this manager:

Magellan Global Fund (Hedged), Magellan Global Fund (Open Class Units) ASX:MGOC, Magellan High Conviction Fund, Magellan Infrastructure Fund, Magellan Infrastructure Fund (Unhedged), MFG Core Infrastructure Fund

Important Information: 

This material has been delivered to you by Magellan Asset Management Limited ABN 31 120 593 946 AFS Licence No. 304 301 ('Magellan') and has been prepared for general information purposes only and must not be construed as investment advice or as an investment recommendation.  This material does not take into account your investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. This material does not constitute an offer or inducement to engage in an investment activity nor does it form part of any offer documentation, offer or invitation to purchase, sell or subscribe for interests in any type of investment product or service. You should obtain and consider the relevant Product Disclosure Statement ('PDS') and Target Market Determination ('TMD') and consider obtaining professional investment advice tailored to your specific circumstances before making a decision about whether to acquire, or continue to hold, the relevant financial product. A copy of the relevant PDS and TMD relating to a Magellan financial product may be obtained by calling +61 2 9235 4888 or by visiting www.magellangroup.com.au.

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Hedge Clippings | 14 September 2023

After all the machinations which have surrounded Qantas over the past few weeks, and which have taken the focus of Hedge Clippings away from the real task of looking at economic issues and the performance of managed funds, it is probably time to get back to basics. Having said that, the trials (literal and figurative) facing Qantas, and in particular the new CEO, Vanessa Hudson, and Chairman Richard Goyder are far from over.

Hudson of course can, and will claim - or blame - her predecessor, although it seems like she either endorsed his policies, or didn't or couldn't stand up to his overbearing style. She'll no doubt get away with that excuse, but Goyder has nowhere to hide as chairman, and one who was cheer-leader-in-chief for the recently departed Irish elf. Goyder either believed Joyce was the "best CEO in Australia by a length of a straight" as he described him, or he was fooled into thinking so. Either way, it was a massive character judgment failure on his part, as well as one of corporate governance.

The upcoming Qantas AGM is scheduled for November 3rd, and should be a jam packed and fiery event. Qantas might even resort to selling non existing tickets to it, but even though it's scheduled just a few days before the Melbourne Cup, it's doubtful if the chairman will be referring to his previous racing analogy when farewelling his disgraced former CEO.

What the whole Qatar / flightless tickets debacle has done is to call into question the level of overt, or maybe covert, influence membership of the Qantas Chairman's Club wields throughout the corridors of Canberra and beyond. Power corrupts: Absolute power corrupts absolutely, or so the saying goes.  The issue in this case is not power, but undue influence, or the perception of it.

Didn't we say it was time to get back to basics of the economy?   

The hard/soft landing debate continues, both here and overseas - at least in the US, as it appears the landing in the UK is unlikely to be anything but hard. China's landing is likely to be bumpy at best, but getting an accurate picture of the world's second largest economy is anything but easy, coupled with the centralised and authoritarian decision making process. Australia's tightening phase would appear to be over, although it looks like rates won't come down anytime soon, given the unemployment rate remains sub 4%.

There are a few wild cards out there, as always. Saudi Arabia and Russia are in lockstep to reduce oil production and keep oil prices, and therefore inflation, high. Tensions around Taiwan remain, even if overshadowed by China's economic issues, and of course Ukraine remains an unknown outcome.

Thankfully it's footy finals season to take one's mind off such issues, although you can always stay up late / get up early to watch the Wallabies trying to get out of their pool into the quarter finals of the RWC.

Watch this space!

News & Insights

Cultivating change - Nestlé's leading approach on sustainability and creating shared value | Magellan Asset Management

Quay podcast: How high rates are impacting REITs | Quay Global Investors

August 2023 Performance News

Bennelong Concentrated Australian Equities Fund

Argonaut Natural Resources Fund

Collins St Value Fund

Bennelong Long Short Equity Fund

Delft Partners Global High Conviction Strategy

Glenmore Australian Equities Fund

Quay Global Real Estate Fund (Unhedged)

Cyan C3G Fund

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Hedge Clippings | 08 September 2023

Yesterday marked what will probably be Philip Lowe's final speaking engagement whilst RBA Governor before handing over to his deputy Michele Bullock on 18th September.

Free from the shackles of his position and convention, the outgoing governor took the opportunity to set the record straight on what he had (and had not) promised, whilst also taking a few shots at the level of reporting and attention his previous statements and comments had received. Of course, whilst in the role he had carefully avoided having an all out war with the media (Eddie Jones, take a lesson in humility) understanding that one rarely gets the last word in - no doubt remembering the old adage "never to argue with the person with the microphone".

Whilst being pretty direct in his comments and opinion of the media, he was somewhat more subtle, but equally correct in also having a go at government in his speech entitled "Some Closing Remarks". Lowe stated the obvious: Government should carry some of the can for inflation and interest rates, and thus the property market and mortgage stress. In reality the RBA is very much the messenger, in spite of the so called independence.  It is the government of the day that has the authority and ability, plus a wide variety of potential policy tools to steer the economy, instead of leaving it to the RBA and the blunt instrument of monetary policy to do the work for them.

Fat chance of that happening! As Lowe said, it would require some "innovative thinking" which is a rare commodity in politicians, particularly once they're elected, and don't want to lose the benefits of office - even the unofficial ones, such as membership of the Qantas chairman's lounge, (which really should have been renamed Joyce's Jolly long ago).

History has shown we've had multiple examples of "innovative thinking" over the years - think Mark Johnson's 2009 report, Australia as a Financial Centre, or Ken Henry's 2010 Tax Review with its 138 recommendations, most of which are still gathering dust. The major item from the Henry Review which was implemented by the then Rudd Government was the move to create a resources Super Profit Tax. The proposal was highly controversial, and has been suggested as the main reason why Rudd lost power.

Both were announced with great fanfare (even if then Minister for Financial Services, Chris Bowen released his response in mid January, 2010, hardly likely to get anyone's serious attention) but neither Johnson's and Henry's efforts or recommendations resulted in little to no "Committed Action".

Bottom line - don't trust politicians to actually do anything innovative, even if it is clearly in the national interest, if it also involves personal risk - as Paul Keating said "in the race of life always back self interest - at least you know it's trying".

During his term as RBA Governor, Lowe did exactly what was required with the tools available to him, and given the cards he was dealt by the global economy, and policy of the day. He lowered rates to zero in response to COVID and government policy, which resulted in households and corporates being awash with cash, which along with Russia's invasion of Ukraine led to an outbreak of inflation. Like all central banks, he tightened rates (less than the US or UK) to stifle inflation, hopefully without choking the economy in the process.

The government takes the credit for low unemployment, but is happy for Lowe and the RBA to take the blame for high interest rates and mortgage stress, to the extent they declined to renew his term in office. It's the government's responsibility to ensure there's sufficient housing to accommodate an immigration level of 300,000+ this year which is helping to keep house prices high, but they won't take the blame when it hurts those under mortgage or rental stress.

Lowe will leave with a record of having set and kept to his narrow path, and what may shape up to be a soft landing - no mean feat. He should be applauded.

Meanwhile the government has been left with a mess of its own making with - whatever the outcome - a divisive referendum campaign, and egg, or worse on its face over the Qatar fiasco, as has the Qantas board.  Alan Joyce is probably public enemy Number 1 in Australia at present, and most people would be lining up to give him the following treatment:

News & Insights

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August 2023 Performance News

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4D Global Infrastructure Fund (Unhedged)

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Sorting bubbles from justified inflations!

Alphinity Investment Management

August 2023

Funds operated by this manager:

Alphinity Australian Share Fund, Alphinity Concentrated Australian Share Fund, Alphinity Global Equity Fund, Alphinity Sustainable Share Fund

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