NEWS
12 Feb 2013 - Apeiron Global Macro Trust - Class A
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Manager Comments | The Fund lost money on it's short positions in US equity and Japanese Govt bonds. Profitable positions included long crude oil (WTI) while the short Yen position was the most profitable investment as the Yen fell sharply over January. The manager remains comfortable with the medium term outlook for the short Japanese Govt bond and Yen positions and continues to forecast difficult political and economic conditions in Europe. |
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11 Feb 2013 - Optimal Australia Absolute Trust
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Fund Overview | The Fund's bias is likely to be net long under normal market conditions, with the core strategy being to construct a portfolio of listed equity securities priced at levels that do not adequately reflect their underlying value. The Fund will seek to boost returns and limit potential market downside by selective short selling of individual stocks which are priced at levels that are viewed as materially above their underlying value. The Fund will also use certain trading strategies both within its core portfolio (through rebalancing stock weights and overall market exposure in response to price movements) and in certain other situations (typically of a shorter-duration and/or opportunistic nature) with the objective of further increasing returns. |
Manager Comments | Stocks that were at fair, or full value became expensive, and those that were already overvalued, and therefore candidates for the short book, became more so. As such Optimal finds this a considerable dilemma from a portfolio construction perspective as fundamental value investors, being reluctant to short overvalued stocks in the face of the current momentum and weight of money buying. As a result both gross and net exposure of the portfolio remain relatively low at 56% and 3% respectively. |
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6 Feb 2013 - Bennelong Kardinia Absolute Return Fund
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Fund Overview | The Fund consists of a concentrated long/short portfolio typically comprising 30 to 40 ASX 300 listed stocks, generally with a long bias aligned to the overall market direction. There is a slight bias to large cap stocks in the long side of the portfolio, although in a rising market the portfolio will tend to hold smaller caps, including resource stocks, more frequently. The Fund was launched on 17th August 2011 following the resignation of Portfolio Managers Mark Burgess and Kristiaan Rehder from Herschel Asset Management in late July 2011. While at Herschel Burgess and Rehder had managed the Fund under the name of the Herschel Absolute Return Fund. As a result management of the Fund was transferred to Kardinia Capital, a new boutique fund manager 65% owned by Burgess and Rehder, with the balance owned by Bennelong Funds Management. The Fund's investment strategy and prior track record remains intact. |
Manager Comments | The Manager notes the market advance was broad-based and that cyclicals out-performed the defensive sectors with consumer discretionary, media, financials and retail all moving up strongly. Weaker(defensive) sectors were utilities and healthcare. The fund holdings in News, NAB, Telstra, ANZ, Henderson and IOOF all performed strongly on the long side. Performance was held back by short positions, a number of which were closed or reduced over January. Gross exposure was up sharply to 70.7% for a net exposure of 45.9%, composed of 58.3% long and 12.4% short . Toward the end of the month the fund invested in puts and futures to hedge market risk after the very strong rally in January. |
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5 Feb 2013 - Microequities Deep Value Microcap Fund
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Fund Overview | The Fund strategy is to invest in companies generating positive earnings (EBITDA) for at least 2 years with a stable management and track record for delivering value to shareholders. |
Manager Comments | The fund reduced its its cash balances during the month to end at 3.5% from 9.0% previously. In terms of holdings there were notable increases in the Software and Services and Commercial Services sectors. The Healthcare and Equipment sector was notable as a reduced exposure. The fund has completed its fourth calendar year and has out-performed the Index each calendar year since inception in March 2009. The manager notes that despite the strong rally in share prices and improved sentiment the outlook for the domestic and international economy has not changed meaningfully. Rather it is the flow of funds from other asset classes that is driving the equity market. However current equity prices are not necessarily over-priced. |
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4 Feb 2013 - K2 Select International Absolute Return Fund
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Manager Comments | The fund maintained a net equity exposure of 95 - 100% for January benefiting fully from strong global markets. On a regional basis the fund did best from the US, Australia and Europe. At a stock level some of the fund's previous strong performers took a breather, notable was Samsung suffering from the strong Korean Won. On the positive side, stock winners came from cheap US gas plays and pipeline stocks. Looking ahead the fund has a positive view on equities as risk appetite and economic growth improve, driven by loose monetary policy. In addition, equity valuations are low versus cash and bonds and therefore have space to run. |
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1 Feb 2013 - Morphic Global Opportunities Fund
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Manager Comments | Major gains for the month came from finance sector holdings led by an Indian Bank basket. Other themes contributing were the basket of Japanese drugstore chains and the holdings in US home-builders. The tilt to emerging markets also contributed to performance. Losses came from a range of individual investments including online gaming, insurance and a short in US tourism e-commerce. The fund missed some of the Japanese market rally as its holdings were mainly in domestic orientated stocks while the market rally was driven by exporters. However the currency impact of the weaker Yen was reduced by hedging. The fund is largely un-hedged back into Australian dollars as the manager does not see the currency appreciating substantially from $1.05. The fund's outlook is evidenced by its sector diversification, overweight to developing markets and hedging to reduce tail-risks / extreme market events. |
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1 Feb 2013 - BlackRock Australian Equity Market Neutral Fund
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Fund Overview | The Fund's portfolio primarily consists of long and short Australian equity positions. The Fund may also invest in other funds managed by BlackRock. Derivative securities, such as futures, forwards, swaps and options, can be used to manage risk and return Key insights into the investment process include: - Analyst Expectations - Relative Valuation - Earnings Quality - Market Signals - Timing Short-Term return enhancing opportunities including: - Dividend reinvestment plans - Manging index changes - Managing cash flows - Arbitrage - Initial public offerings and Seasoned Equity Offerings - Off Market Buybacks |
Manager Comments | The Australian equity market had a strong fourth quarter, rising 6%. This was driven by reduced fears of a hard landing in China, improved commodity prices and hopes for a resolution to the US fiscal problem. Within the market high yield stocks were strong as investors sought yield. The portfolio benefited from strong consumer cyclical performance with the portfolio benefiting from this strength through holdings in QAN, FLT and SUL. Metals and mining exposures also made a positive contribution to the portfolio through short positions in poorly performing mining stocks. Other positive contributions came from under-weights to insurance and favorable stock selections in healthcare. Within signals Relative Valuation was the strongest contributor with Market Signals the only signal delivering negative return. |
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31 Jan 2013 - BlackRock Multi Opportunity Fund
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Fund Overview | - Australian and International Equity Long/Short - Global Fixed Income Long/Short - Global Macro - Commodity Alpha - Alpha Transport The Fund's goal is to provide investors with a source of consistent, risk-controlled, absolute returns that are over time, expected to have low correlations with the returns of major asset classes. The Fund aims to achieve a return of 8% p.a. before fees, above the RBA Cash Rate Target over rolling 3 year periods. In order to achieve its expected return objective, the Fund will target a total expected risk of between 4-6% p.a. over the same rolling 3 year period. |
Manager Comments | The Fund benefited from the stronger environment for risk assets, policy easing by central banks and generally improving economic data. The largest contributions over the quarter were fixed income by asset class and bond selection by strategy, with global macro the weakest asset due to currency investments. For 2013 the Manager remains concerned about global fiscal policy tightening and budget negotiations in the US, but is constructive on the US economy beyond these issues. |
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25 Jan 2013 - Hedge Clippings 25 January
In this issue:
We're back after the Christmas & New Year break - greatly and gratefully refreshed, and relishing the challenges and opportunities of 2013. The break wasn't all sun, sand and swimming though. Those of you who have visited our new website over the past few weeks will have noticed significant changes, including a new look and feel with additional content and free access to the Fund Selector, Fund Profiles News and the Library. Feedback from users has been positive, but further suggestions or comments are always welcome.
Looking back, 2012 was dominated by macro risks combined with politics and politicians - never a good mix. However the immediate threats to Europe were resolved by the "whatever it takes" approach, the US stepped back from the fiscal cliff and there does seem to be a recovery of sorts underway, and China appears to have avoided the hard landing scenario many were fearing.
Australia's equity gained 14.6% in 2012, and 20.2% on an accumulation basis with most of the gains coming in the final six months of the year as global risks subsided and interest rates fell to historical lows, leading to a search for yield which resulted in the big four banks and Telstra gain 30 to 40%, while the materials sector struggled. In this environment equity based hedge funds averaged gains of 12.18% with the best performing fund returning over 50% and the worst falling more than 40%. Manager and fund selection remains vital!
It seems unsurprising therefore that markets are experiencing a definite change to "risk on" based on feedback from a range of fund managers and investors. However that doesn't mean there aren't significant risks remaining, as some of the issues have just been deferred. Concerns remain in Australia that the price side of the P/E ratios have moved and there may be some delay in earnings. Another risk on the horizon seems to be the advent of the currency wars as the US, Europe and now Japan all compete to drive their currencies lower.
This article from macro manager Blue Sky Apeiron outlines their views on the possible outcomes and dangers that Japan's new policies are creating. Interesting and sobering, and if their suspected scenario comes to pass Australia will feel the effects given Japan's position of our second largest trading partner.
Elsewhere one of the major challenges the absolute return sector faces is the necessity to provide value in return for the fees charged. Downward pressure on fees continue, but this article in AFM's "Understanding Hedge Funds" series argues that it is not merely the size of the fees but the way they're structured that will come under scrutiny. We remain firmly of the view that paying high fees for the best managers is a sound investment, and paying fees for poor performance should lead to a change of manager.
And now for something completely different. Personally I have never enjoyed drinking exotic cocktails, but seeing the skills involved in making them might be a different matter - even in Russia.
Have a good week-end.
Regards,
Chris.
25 Jan 2013 - Performance Report: PM CAPITAL Absolute Performance Fund AUD
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Manager Comments | The Fund benefitted from its exposure to banking stocks as part of a broader US housing recovery theme which also included investments in property and casino stocks. The Fund also benefitted from a short exposure to the Yen. The Manager believes that the market has been climbing a wall of worry regarding macro factors, and has concentrated on stock picking within broad themes, including their view that the US housing recovery (and US asset prices in general) is likely to persist for some years. A such PM Capital's view is that the worst is over and businesses geared for the recovery will be rewarding investments over the longer term. |
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