NEWS
7 May 2013 - Bennelong Kardinia Absolute Return Fund
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Fund Overview | The Fund consists of a concentrated long/short portfolio typically comprising 30 to 40 ASX300 listed stocks, generally with a long bias aligned to the overall market direction. There is a slight bias to large cap stocks in the long side of the portfolio, although in a rising market the portfolio will tend to hold smaller caps, including resource stocks, more frequently. The Fund was launched on 17th August 2011 following the resignation of Portfolio Managers Mark Burgess and Kristiaan Rehder from Herschel Asset Management in late July 2011. While at Herschel Burgess and Rehder had managed the Fund under the name of the Herschel Absolute Return Fund. As a result management of the Fund was transferred to Kardinia Capital, a new boutique fund manager 65% owned by Burgess and Rehder, with the balance owned by Bennelong Funds Management. The Fund's investment strategy and prior track record remains intact. |
Manager Comments | Global equity markets continued to rally in April despite weakness in economic data from China and the US. A reasonable start to the first quarter earnings season in the US helped drive the S&P500 Index to a new record high. The Australian equity market outperformed as investors chased yield with the All Ordinaries Accumulation Index rising 3.8%. National Australia Bank, ANZ, Telstra and Commonwealth Bank were all large positive contributors to performance, whilst Share Price Index futures contracts (hedging long exposures), Sirius Resources, Rio Tinto and MACA were the largest detractors. The Fund’s net equity market exposure (including derivatives) was kept fairly stable around 35.2% (58.8% long and 23.6% short). |
More Information | » View detailed profile of this fund |
6 May 2013 - CSAG Long Only Program
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Manager Comments | The Fund's 8.1% pa compares well with the Fund's benchmark (Dow Jones-UBS Commodity Index Total Return) return of 4.01% pa over the same time. The Fund's Sharpe and Sortino ratio are also in excess of the benchmark while its annualised volatility is also notable at 13.32% as against 17.38%. |
More Information | » View detailed profile of this fund |
3 May 2013 - Hedge Clippings
Further details of the new MySuper rules emerged this week, even if drowned out somewhat by other announcements from Canberra. However in principal the thrust of MySuper is admirable, if the stated objectives are achieved:
- creation of a simple, low cost default superannuation product
- cheaper and easier processing of transactions, and
- strengthen the governance, integrity and regulatory settings of the superannuation system, including SMSF's.
Anything that simplifies Super, or creates a lower cost structure, particularly for super accounts with lower balances, is to be applauded. In this regard, the push for more transparency can only assist. However the risk is that the focus falls more on the fee structure than the actual risk adjusted returns after fees.
While it is easy to point to high fees as a destroyer of an investment's value, performance has a far greater effect, particularly in negative markets. Hopefully the new MySuper transparency and reporting regime will recognise this.
Elsewhere, we noticed a good article in InvestorDaily quoting Pengana's CEO Russel Pillemer, who (correctly in our view) points to the flawed logic of placing many hedge and absolute return funds into the "alternatives" bucket. All too often anything that can't be categorised easily ends up as an alternative, with no real analysis of its return profile or correlation to other asset classes.
Russel's suggestion is to allocate to a category called "uncorrelated", as that is what most investors are seeking from a true alternative investment. In our opinion, the majority of equity long/short strategies might then more correctly fit in the equities bucket, or at least active equities.
At the end of the day simply having a low correlation to equities doesn't really work 100% of the time. What investors want, or need, is an asymmetric return profile where the fund captures the market's upside (a high up capture ratio) and avoids the downside (a low downside capture ratio).
Easier said than done in a single fund, and not always easy when constructing a portfolio, but worth the effort.
Performance and News Updates on www.fundmonitors.com this week:
The Pengana Australian Equities Market Neutral Fund had a good March 2013 returning 3.2% bringing it's since inception (September 2008) return to 9.21% pa with a zero correlation to the market of -0.02.
BlackRock Multi Opportunity Fund had a sound March 2013 with a return of 1.09% and a twelve month return of 9.70% with positive returns in each of the 3 months of the quarter.
The Pengana Asia Special Events (Onshore) Fund returned 0.83% for March 2013 and 3.28% for the quarter to end-March. Notably the Fund has a volatility of 6.7% as compared to its benchmark volatility of 17.8% (since inception).
Pengana Australian Equities Fund had a flat March with a return of 0.0% but strong 12 and 24 month returns, delivering 22.5% and 33.06% respectively to the end of March 2013. At month-end cash (including notes and preference shares) represented 32% of the Fund.
The K2 Australian Absolute Return Fund had a strong April 2013 delivering 4.54% with its annual return to the end of April, 23.99%.
Continuing our successful Meet the Manager presentation series, on Thursday 16 May, AFM is holding a city lunch time briefing featuring Jack Lowenstein from Morphic Asset Management. The Morphic Global Opportunities Fund is a global equity long/short manager with a macro-economic overlay. The Fund's portfolio construction has a long bias and favours value based and momentum strategies, with a strong emphasis on risk management. If you would like to join us for the presentation, please reply to this email.
And finally, for something completely different, we bring you a short clip from Cancer Council NSW on Relay for Life. This weekend our Administration Manager Alexis will be camping out and walking for 24 hours out at the Sutherland Shire Relay and we support her in this worthy cause.
On that note, I hope you have a happy and healthy weekend!
Regards,
Chris Gosselin
CEO, AUSTRALIAN FUND MONITORS
3 May 2013 - K2 Australian Absolute Return Fund
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Fund Overview | - The Fund is managed 'opportunistically'. Investments are made throughout Australia and New Zealand across sectors that the investment team believes will add greatest value. - Typically the Fund will hold between 50 and 70 listed equities. - If deemed appropriate, the Fund may be 100% invested in cash. - To implement the Fund's Long/Short investment strategy, K2 is able to use leverage or gear the Fund. However, the net invested position of the Fund shall not exceed the Net Asset Value (NAV) of the Fund. |
Manager Comments | The manager's view is that the low point in the Australian earning cycle has now been past. Even during April analysts reduced forward estimates for just 6% of Australian top 100 companies; the lowest level in 20 years. This is an encouraging trend and the manager expects that this will continue throughout the year and that cost out programs will be the dominant earnings driver for at least the next 6 months. The manager was surprised that 40% of Australia’s leading stocks fell on average by 6% during April. Accordingly, excess performance was all about what you didn’t own. Given that the manager had anticipated declining inflation and subsequently lower interest rates, they had tilted the portfolio towards industrial stocks that exhibit appreciating dividend streams. The manager was particularly pleased when the Fund's largest holding, ANZ Bank, announced in its 1H’13 profit release that it would be lifting its dividend pay-out ratio from 60% to about 70%. As a result, ANZ’s interim dividend per share for 2013 was 10.6% ahead of last year. As always, “sell in May and go away” echoes through financial markets. However, the Fund's equity exposure will only change near term if some of the important lead indicators that are due to be released within the next 2 weeks turn unfavourable. Specifically, prior to the RBA interest rate decision on 7th of May, the manager expects ANZ job advertisements to remain weak, retail sales to remain below trend and trade data to be relatively weak. Hence the RBA could justify cutting the official cash rate by 25 bpts. |
More Information | » View detailed profile of this fund |
2 May 2013 - Super Funds to Disclose Dollar Value of Fees
"MySuper product providers will be required to disclose investment risk, the dollar value of fees and their investment performance in an easy to read way, the Minister for Financial Services and Superannuation, Bill Shorten revealed today.
The Government has issued draft regulations that represent the final stage of the Government?s MySuper reforms and are aimed at helping Australians better understand how their fund is performing".
You can read Mr Shorten's comments here. And the draft Regulation is published on the Treasury site.
2 May 2013 - Pengana Australian Equities Fund
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Manager Comments | As at March 31st, cash (including notes and preference shares) represented 32% of the Fund. The top five holdings by value were: DUET, ANZ Bank, News, Telstra and NAB. The largest positive contributors to the Quarter’s performance included NAB, News Corporation, ANZ, DUET Group, Seven West Media, Ainsworth Game Technology, Seven Group Holdings, Resmed and Myer Holdings. It is particularly pleasing that there were no detractors over the quarter. The Fund had an active March Quarter, acquiring several new holdings including Caltex, Fairfax and Speciality Fashion Group. In addition, the Fund deployed cash into existing holdings including Duet Group, Telstra, ANZ, Woolworths, Seven West Media and McMillan Shakespeare. The Fund’s exposure to non-Australian dollar earnings streams (inclusive of companies with global earnings profiles such as Resmed and News Corporation, NZ based companies and US dollar exposure) stands at 16.6%. The Fund continued its policy of maximising the cash or “near cash” rates available by acquiring several short dated hybrids at attractive rates. The Fund disposed of its holdings in CSL, Myer, Mastermyne Group and Amcom Telecommunications. The Fund also trimmed its holdings in Credit Corp, NIB Holdings and Tatts Group. While the consensus outlook for the global economy remains gloomy, tentative signs of economic recovery are beginning to emerge. Coordinated efforts by governments through a combination of rescue packages, “extremely loose” monetary policies and large stimulatory spending programs do appear to be having some positive effects. Given the extent of these wholesale efforts (that have included even the proverbial kitchen sink being thrown at the problem) one shudders to think what the implications of no reaction would have been. However, as pragmatic investors the Fund remains alert for those well managed companies with the business models and balance sheets to take advantage of the following dynamics - a) The US economy’s ability to consistently reinvent itself combined with the potential “game changer” of becoming energy self sufficient due to its recently accessible (and massive) oil shale reserves; b) The Chinese authorities efforts to reinvigorate (or at least stabilise) economic growth may be successful and c) The significant reduction in interest rates domestically may be creating a base for consumer confidence. |
More Information | » View detailed profile of this fund |
1 May 2013 - Pengana Asia Special Events (Onshore) Fund
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Fund Overview | The Fund seeks to profit from trading securities which are primarily subject to corporate events or from trading-related securities which the Investment Manager believes are mispriced by the market. The Fund invests in securities that are listed on Asian stock markets and other markets where related securities may be listed and in securities which are listed on markets outside of Asia where more than 70% (by assets or earnings) of the underlying business originates from an Asian country. The Fund aims to generate consistently positive returns which have a low correlation to the Asian stock markets. The objective is to generate 10-20% pa with a standard deviation of 6-10% |
Manager Comments | The Fund finished up 3.3% for the first quarter of 2013. Earnings Surprise was the biggest positive contributor to performance over the quarter, followed by the Mergers & Acquisitions (M&A) and Capital Management strategies. The Fund generated strong returns in most markets, particularly Singapore, Japan and China. The Fund’s gross and net exposure for March averaged 183% and 14% respectively. Approximately 30% of the gross exposure relates to M&A, with Capital Management, Earnings Surprise and Stubs trades also receiving meaningful allocations. Markets began the year upbeat with the “fiscal cliff” overhang in the US evaporating and investors welcoming the improved macroeconomic environment. In March, macro headwinds out of Cyprus dominated headlines, briefly spooking markets. Volatility, measured through the VIX index, spiked briefly in late February but spent most of the period in the 12 to 14 range. After a healthy start to the year in January and February in terms of M&A activity, March was a quiet month with the Fund getting involved in 2 new situations. However, the volatility in the market has created opportunities in other strategies and a greater capital allocation towards the Stubs sub-strategy in particular. We have a number of potential deal bump/re-rate situations in the M&A portfolio with visible short term catalysts. |
More Information | » View detailed profile of this fund |
30 Apr 2013 - BlackRock Multi Opportunity Fund
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Fund Overview | - Australian and International Equity Long/Short - Global Fixed Income Long/Short - Global Macro - Commodity Alpha - Alpha Transport The Fund's goal is to provide investors with a source of consistent, risk-controlled, absolute returns that are over time, expected to have low correlations with the returns of major asset classes. The Fund aims to achieve a return of 8% p.a. before fees, above the RBA Cash Rate Target over rolling 3 year periods. In order to achieve its expected return objective, the Fund will target a total expected risk of between 4-6% p.a. over the same rolling 3 year period. |
Manager Comments | The manager notes that global markets started the year strongly with a broad rally in equities in the first quarter. Japanese equities out-performed most other markets, rallying 21% buoyed by anticipated aggressive monetary policy easing under the new Abe regime. US equities finished up 11%, while equity returns in Europe were more mixed; German equities finished up 3.7% and Italian equities ended the quarter 6.2% lower due to the uncertain Italian election outcome. Despite the rally in equities, bond prices in most major markets generally firmed as investors retreated to safe have bonds following a resumption of concerns in peripheral Europe with the banking sector bailout in Cyprus and weaker data across Europe. The Multi-Opportunity Fund delivered positive performance in the first quarter. The fund returned 2.78% versus the RBA cash benchmark return of 0.71%, thereby delivering alpha of 2.07%. This is a solid start for the 2013 year to date. The fund delivered positive returns in each of the 3 months of the quarter. The European Equity Long/Short, Fixed Income Global Alpha, Global Equity Long/Short, Global Macro and Commodity Long/Short strategies added value while International Alpha Transport was relatively flat and the Australian Equity Market Neutral strategies detracted from performance. |
More Information | » View detailed profile of this fund |
29 Apr 2013 - Pengana Australian Equities Market Neutral Fund
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Manager Comments | Two of the Fund's largest long positions in March were McMillan Shakespeare and Sirtex Medical, while two of the largest short positions were Transpacific Industries and Duet. Momentum was the best performing investment theme in our model for the month followed by Quality with small contributions from Earnings Revisions and Value. Momentum captures share price movements that are based on previous performance over the longer and short terms. With most of the performance coming from the longer term component of this factor, stock prices in March continued to follow a low risk high yield theme as risk appetite clearly stays out of favour. While this theme has been continuing for some time, the manager is starting to see a more discerning market with increased focus on the underlying fundamental Quality of stocks and their ability to maintain dividend policies. While the market is less concerned with Earnings Revisions and Value themes at this point, the performance from shorter term Momentum themes particularly across the defensive sectors indicates that the market is beginning to be more selective with stocks where valuations are stretched and earnings growth remains weak. |
More Information | » View detailed profile of this fund |
27 Apr 2013 - Hedge Clippings
We recently reviewed an article in The Economist which provided an excellent summary of the challenges of establishing a hedge fund in the current environment, even if the article's title, "Launch Bad" left a little to desired, assuming it wasn't a simple typo. Actually the first sentence was somewhat off the mark also, claiming that when starting a hedge fund "bar inheritance or winning the lottery, there are few swifter paths to immense riches".
However, back to the excellent article which (excluding the title and the first sentence) does paint an accurate picture of the challenges facing not only any aspiring fund manager, but the vast majority of the existing funds as well.
Although the Economist's focus was naturally on the challenges in the US and Europe there are many parallels in Australia for aspiring managers, with increased due diligence, a focus on fees, and regulations all featuring to a greater or lesser degree. What is interesting to us is that there have been a number of start up funds in the past 12-18 months, with the trend being towards better levels of strategic thought, business process, and risk management than in the past.
As a result the investors who back early stage managers continue to do so partly because research shows that while not without some risks, early stage, smaller or boutique fund managers provide significantly better returns, better transparency and more personal investor relations. Read the balance of our review here.
Performance and News Updates on www.fundmonitors.com this week:
Magellan Global Fund was up 1.92% in March 2013 taking its 12 month performance to 19.78% as compared to an index (MSCI World Net) return of 11.1%. All stocks in the portfolio produced positive local currency returns and the portfolio was fully invested.
Auscap Long Short Australian Equities Fund had a strong return of 1.46% over March with an average next exposure of 116.5%. Performance benefited from exposure to property trusts, healthcare and materials sectors and avoiding the mining sector
Allard Investment Fund fell 2.1% over March impacted by the $A and generally weaker Asian markets. Twelve month performance was 6.72% and since inception performance 8.47% net compound annual return. Notable is the Funds low volatility at around two-thirds of the MSCI Asia Pacific ex Japan Index.
Monash Absolute Investment Fund returned a solid 2% over March bringing its six month return to 17.17%, achieved with an average net exposure of 62%. The portfolio avoided defensives, Telstra, consumer staples and utilities.
Continuing our successful Meet the Manager presentation series on Thursday 16 May, AFM is holding a city lunch time briefing featuring Jack Lowenstein from Morphic Asset Management. Contact us to reserve your seat.
As a tribute to yesterdays ANZAC Day, we would like to show this short clip of The Last Post from the Sydney Symphony.
On that note, I hope you have a happy and healthy weekend!
Regards,
Chris
CEO, AUSTRALIAN FUND MONITORS