NEWS
9 Mar 2016 - Optimal Australia Absolute Trust
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Fund Overview | The Fund's bias is likely to be net long under normal market conditions, with the core strategy being to construct a portfolio of listed equity securities priced at levels that do not adequately reflect their underlying value. The Fund will seek to boost returns and limit potential market downside by selective short selling of individual stocks which are priced at levels that are viewed as materially above their underlying value. The Fund will also use certain trading strategies both within its core portfolio (through rebalancing stock weights and overall market exposure in response to price movements) and in certain other situations (typically of a shorter-duration and/or opportunistic nature) with the objective of further increasing returns. |
Manager Comments | The Fund entered February with net long exposure, at 9% of NAV, and with a higher beta skew towards the Resources complex. The Fund's stock selection worked well during the month, as mean reversion finally paid. No multiple and no commodity exposure was low enough to be investible. In the current earning season, the Fund's strike rate on their higher conviction investments was generally good, despite one bad earnings miss in retail. The investment team continues to believe the recent market volatility is here to stay and therefore will continue to focus on stock opportunities, with limit the exposure to the market risk. Click below to read the latest Fund monthly report. |
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8 Mar 2016 - Fund Review: Insync Global Titans Fund January 2016
INSYNC GLOBAL TITANS FUND
Attached is our most recently updated Fund Review on the Insync Global Titans Fund.
We would like to highlight the following:
- The Fund increased by 0.2% in January. The performance was driven by positive contributions from their holdings in Time Warner, McDonald's, Microsoft and Unilever. The main negative contributors were Express Scripts, eBay and McGraw- Hill. The Fund continues to have no foreign currency hedging in place as Insync consider the main risks to the Australian dollar to be on the downside. .
- The Global Titans Fund invests in a concentrated portfolio of 15-30 stocks, targeting exceptional, large cap global companies with a strong focus on dividend growth and downside protection.
- Portfolio selection is driven by a core strategy of investing in companies with sustainable growth in dividends, high returns on capital, positive free cash flows and strong balance sheets.
- Emphasis on limiting downside risk is through extensive company research, the ability to hold cash and long protective index put options.
For further details on the Fund, please do not hesitate to contact us.
7 Mar 2016 - Newgate Real Estate and Infrastructure Fund
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Fund Overview | The Fund's research use detailed analysis of the underlying assets integrated with financial analysis to determine a sustainable yield and fundamental DCF valuation for the security. Also the Fund believes in having a strong risk control framework. The Fund will also use trading strategies via rebalancing of core portfolio positions as well as taking advantage of shorter duration inefficiencies in markets caused by an imbalance in demand and supply for global REIT and Infrastructure securities. The Fund focuses on generating absolute returns after fees of 12 to 15% pa over the medium to long term. The long-short nature of the Fund combined with Newgate's rigorous investment process ensures returns generated by the Fund are largely independent of rising or falling markets. Newgate is focused on providing investment opportunities primarily within core, value-add, opportunistic and development sectors of direct property and across listed and unlisted real estate and infrastructure securities. The Fund's investment team consists of Tim Hannon, Campbell McComb, Darren Brusnahan, Nishant Narayanaswamy and Nicole Merrillees. |
Manager Comments | The Fund maintained a very conservative position over the month given heightened volatility in global markets. As a result, there were no material contributors or detractors. The fund held a heavy cash weight (90% of Fund net asset value), an average around 5 positions. Positive contributors to the portfolio were Mirvac Group (MGR) and Sydney Airport (SYD. Negative contributors were Folkestone Group (FLK) and Invest Office Fund (IOF). Click Manager's Report to read more. |
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2 Mar 2016 - KIS Asia Long Short Fund
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Fund Overview | Whilst the Fund's primary strategy is focused on long/short equities, the ability to retain discretionary powers to allocate across a number of other investment strategies is reserved. These strategies may include, but not be limited to: convertible bond investments, portfolio hedging, equity related arbitrage, special situations (e.g. merger arbitrage, rights offerings, participation in international public offerings and placements, etc.). The Fund's geographic focus is Asia excluding Japan, but including Australia). The Fund may invest outside of this region to the extent that: 1. The investment decision is driven from the Asian region or; 2. The exposure is intended to mitigate risk or enhance return from factors external to the Asian region. |
Manager Comments | The Special Situations strategy generated a profit of 43bp. The main driver of this positive returns was the Fund's positioning and active trading of Singapore Airlines (SIAL.SI) approach for the minority stake of Tiger Airways (TAHL.SI) it did not already own. Other strategies such as the long short and the portfolio hedge strategies detracted from the month's performance. To read more, click below for Fund's Monthly performance report. |
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1 Mar 2016 - Insync Global Titans Fund
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Fund Overview | Insync employs four simple screens to narrow the universe of over 40,000 listed companies globally to a focus group of high quality companies that it believes have the potential to consistently grow their profits and dividends. These screens are size of the company, balance sheet performance, valuation and dividend quality. Companies that pass this due diligence process are then valued using dividend discount models, free cash flow yield and proprietary implied growth and expected return models. The end result is a high conviction portfolio of typically 15-30 stocks. The principal investments will be in shares of companies listed on international stock exchanges (including the US, Europe and Asia). The Fund may also hold cash, derivatives (for example futures, options and swaps), currency contracts, American Depository Receipts and Global Depository Receipts. The Fund may also invest in various types of international pooled investment vehicles. At times, Insync may consider holding higher levels of cash if valuations are full and it is difficult to find attractive investment opportunities. When Insync believes markets to be overvalued, it may hold part of its resources in cash, or use derivatives as a way of reducing its equity exposure. Insync may use options, futures and other derivatives to reduce risk or gain exposure to underlying physical investments. The Fund may purchase put options on market indices or specific stocks to hedge against losses caused by declines in the prices of stocks in its portfolio. |
Manager Comments | The performance was driven by positive contributions from our holdings in Time Warner, McDonald's, Microsoft and Unilever. The main negative contributors were Express Scripts, eBay and McGrawHill. The Fund continues to have no foreign currency hedging in place as Insync consider the main risks to the Australian dollar to be on the downside. Click below to read the latest Fund Manager Report. |
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29 Feb 2016 - Fund Review: Supervised High Yield Fund January 2016
SUPERVISED HIGH YIELD FUND
Attached is AFM's updated Fund Review on the Supervised High Yield Fund.
We would like to highlight the following aspects of the Fund:
- The Supervised High Yield Fund (SHYF) has a 6 year track record investing in fixed interest investments. The Investment strategy aims to deliver returns with zero correlation to equity markets by investing in debt securities with minimal default probability and offering a premium return above the risk free rate.
- The Fund is managed by Philip Carden whose experience in debt and capital markets spans over 33 years, including time with JB Were's Capel Court Securities and Macquarie Bank, where he was the Executive Director responsible for the Debt Markets Division.
- SHYF is an Alternative Income fund which invests in Global and Australian debt markets, with all foreign currency receivables hedged back to Australian dollars.
- The Fund utilises a top down analysis of the economic environment and market to screen and identify debt market opportunities which it believes offer low risk with high yield. The next stage is the development of a risk matrix and investment strategy, following which detailed research is undertaken on specific investment opportunities which meet the pre-defined criteria established in the investment strategy.
- Prior to approving an investment for the Fund each potential investment is subject to two stress tests. The first of these is for credit and default risk, in which the investment is stress-tested to ensure that in a worst case economic environment it can repay 100% of its principal and interest obligations case scenario for the asset by examining the highest margin over the risk rate that the investment has previously experienced in a crisis situation. Any decline in value under the stress test that exceeds 10% of the Fund's value is avoided The second test examines market risk. In this case Carden looks at the worst case scenario for the asset by examining the highest margin over the risk rate that the investment has previously experienced in a crisis situation. Any decline in value under the stress test that exceeds 10% of the Fund's value is avoided.
27 Feb 2016 - Hedge Clippings
We're searching for a confident economist, but can't find one!
This week Hedge Clippings seemed to be in the company of economists and other experts more than normal. It's not that we have a habit of avoiding them, even if we wanted to, it was just the way the week unfolded. And having paid attention to what they were variously either saying and putting up on the screen, you'd have to say it was a pretty sobering experience, particularly in a week when the once big Australian, BHP, cut their dividend by 75%.
Now trying to distil close to four hours of economic opinion and expertise into a few paragraphs is not the easiest thing to do - so much so that I'm just going to jot a few dot points down and hope they're the right ones. Here goes, and no doubt I will be reminded either that I got it wrong, or missed other more pertinent points:
- Demographics across the globe are changing, and causing some major issues. More people are earning, but not much, and therefore not spending or paying much tax, and more people are getting older and relying on welfare of one sort or another.
- China is in serious transition from their infrastructure boom of the past decade or so, to a consumer and consumption and service based economy. Transitional economies (Australia's included) are always difficult.
- Interest rates are at all time lows, and either negligible or negative. This leaves central banks with no room to move, and no levers left to pull.
- Over supply and inflation. As one who grew up, or at least experienced the '70's, '80's and '90's, it is almost unthinkable that rates would be close to zero, and deflation is the problem, rather than inflation.
- Profit share has overcome labour - and there's signs of political pushback as evidenced by Donald Trump's appeal in the US.
Amongst all this returns of double digits from traditional portfolios are going to be hard to find. Mid-single figures possibly, but that's not attractive if it comes with anything like equity volatility. Choosing the correct, and diversification of, asset class is going to be vital.
And in case you think we're not grateful for their views, we were, and are. Thanks to Charlie Jamieson of JCB Bonds, Saul Eslake, Mark Burgess (ex Future Fund), Daniel Blake of Morgan Stanley, Ben Silluzio of QATO Capital, and Deloitte for their hospitality.
Performance updates and reviews received this over the past couple of weeks included the following PERFORMANCE UPDATES:
For January, the Alexander Credit Opportunities Fund rose 0.43%, to bring 12 month performance to +7.08%.
The QATO Capital Market Neutral Long/Short Fund returned a solid +4.90% versus the S&P/ASX-100's fall of -5.48%; an outperformance of +10.38%.
Pengana Absolute Return Asia Pacific Fund finished -2.0% for the month, compared to the HFR Event Driven Index which closed -3.8%. Asia Pacific markets sold off sharply -8.0%, with volatility measured by VIX hitting a high of 30.
Totus Alpha Fund rose 0.67% for the month of January, compared to the ASX 200 Accumulation Index that fell 5.48%, an outperformance of 6.15%.
The NWQ Fiduciary Fund returned -1.62% for the month of January and has returned +14.06% over the last 12 months.
Signature Quantitative Fund returned -0.6% for the month of January, compared to the S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index's return of -5.5%, an outperformance of 6.08%.
APN AREIT Fund rose 0.55% for the month of January to bring annualised return since inception to 17.60% p.a.
Supervised High Yield Fund decreased by 0.51% for the month of January, to bring annualised performance since inception to 9.47% p.a.
FUND REVIEWS released this week: Meme Australian Share Fund; APN Asian REIT Fund; Morphic Global Opportunities Fund; Bennelong Kardinia Absolute Return Fund; Optimal Australia Absolute Trust; QATO Capital Market Neutral Long/Short Fund; Pengana Absolute Return Asia Pacific Fund; Totus Alpha Fund
And on that sobering note, have a great week-end.
Regards,
Chris
CEO, AUSTRALIAN FUND MONITORS
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25 Feb 2016 - Fund Review: Totus Alpha Fund January 2016
TOTUS ALPHA FUND
Attached is our most recently updated Fund Review on the Totus Alpha Fund.
We would like to highlight the following aspects of the Fund;
- Totus Capital is a Sydney based long short fund manager established in 2012 by Ben McGarry which aims to place equal emphasis on performance and capital preservation. The Fund invests mainly in Australia, but also in other developed economies, with a primary exposure to equity markets.
- The Totus Alpha Fund's investment strategy is to identify structural themes, and then seek to drive performance by investing in securities that have concentrated exposure to those themes. Single stock short positions are used to generate alpha, frequently in under researched parts of the market such as the small and mid-cap space. Index derivatives are used to hedge the portfolio's market risk.
- McGarry qualified as a Chartered Accountant with PWC in 1999 and has 15 years market experience, commencing his career covering European building materials and construction sectors at Morgan Stanley in London. Previous experience included analytical roles at Ausbil, a Sydney based $10bn+ long-only manager, and sell side emerging companies experience at UBS. McGarry's emerging company research with UBS included exposure to a range of sectors including energy, materials, industrials, tech, financials, retail and telecommunications.
- The Fund has delivered an annalised return of 32.05% since inception in March 2012 as compared to 8.44% for the ASX 200 Accumulation Index. The standard deviation has been higher than the Index at 13.88% as compared to 12.39% and the Sharpe ratio is 1.90.
24 Feb 2016 - Fund Review Pengana Absolute Return Asia Pacific Fund January 2016
PENGANA ABSOLUTE RETURN ASIA PACIFIC FUND
Attached is our most recently updated Fund Review on the Pengana Absolute Return Asia Pacific Fund.
- The Pengana Absolute Return Asia Pacific Fund ("PARAP") was established in 2008 by portfolio managers Antonio Meroni and Vikas Kumra. The Fund is a feeder fund into a Cayman Islands AUD share class fund.
- The Fund invests both long and short in Asia Pacific equities, including in Australian and New Zealand, after a stock specific "event" has either occurred or been announced and the portfolio aims to be uncorrelated to the underlying equity markets. A combination of the Manager's experience, thorough research and continuous back- testing identify the most attractive of these events.
- Risk controls include limits on individual positions as well as gross and net exposure. Limits are in place for option exposure and cash borrowing, with stop loss limits on individual positions. Overall the manager is looking to derive returns from the event strategies as opposed to any currency or market exposures.
- Since inception, the Fund has an annualised return of 9.69% p.a., compared to the AFM's Asia Pacific Index of 4.95%. The Fund has achieved this with lower volatility of 6.18% (Index 11.96%).
For further details on the Fund, please do not hesitate to contact us.
24 Feb 2016 - Supervised High Yield Fund
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Fund Overview | The fund may also invest in interest rate swaps, options over authorized investments and exchange traded futures contracts. All these will be either listed or traded in a market where they can be independently valued. Fundamental to the investment procedure is the tenet that no debt security will qualify for investment unless it can repay 100% of its principal and interest in a worst case economic scenario. |
Manager Comments | Market conditions in January were the worst since 2008 and these moves were reflected in the US & Australian Treasury and credit market. The Fund's investments in Australian corporate debts, US collateralised secured corporate debts and Australian RMBS were all revalued downwards producing book value losses reflected in the unit price. However, the Fund received 100% of all principal and interest obligations falling due during the month. More than half of the portfolio's composition (as a percentage of NAV) was invested in Residential Mortgage-Backed Securities (RMBS) 61.87%. The rest of the portfolio composition was in USD Corporate Loans at 21.67%, Cash at 11.83% and AUD Corporate Loans at 4.63%. Click below to view the latest Fund Manager Report. |
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