NEWS
8 Aug 2017 - Bennelong Twenty20 Australian Equities Fund July 2017
BENNELONG TWENTY20 AUSTRALIAN EQUITIES FUND
Attached is our most recently updated Fund Review on the Bennelong Twenty20 Australian Equities Fund.
- The Bennelong Twenty20 Australian Equities Fund invests in ASX listed stocks, combining an indexed position in the Top 20 stocks with an actively managed portfolio of stocks outside the Top 20. Construction of the ex-top 20 portfolio is fundamental, bottom-up, core investment style, biased to quality stocks, with a structured risk management approach.
- Mark East, the Fund's Chief Investment Officer, and Keith Kwang, Director of Quantitative Research have over 50 years combined market experience. Bennelong Funds Management (BFM) provides the investment manager, Bennelong Australian Equity Partners (BAEP) with infrastructure, operational, compliance and distribution services.
For further details on the Fund, please do not hesitate to contact us.
8 Aug 2017 - Paragon Australian Long Short Fund
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Fund Overview | Paragon believes that markets are not always efficient, exhibiting a common tendency to price securities well outside of their intrinsic value over the medium term. This market characteristic provides the opportunity for Paragon, an active manager with a flexible mandate, to generate superior investment returns over the longer term. Paragon believes that it is critical to understand both the companies and the industries in which they operate, in order to fully comprehend each investment opportunity. Accordingly, a fundamental approach to company research is taken. Assessing the potential downside is also paramount in framing the risk/reward trade-off for potential investments. |
Manager Comments | Main contributors for July were gains in Agrimin, Global GeoScience, FastBrick Robotics and Lynas and shorts in Coca Cola and Westgold. These were offset by falls in offshore earners on the back of the rallying AUD. At the end of the month the Fund had 38 long positions and 19 short positions. Paragon continue to invest in key themes which typically make up 80% of the Fund's exposure, currently being Offshore Growth, Ageing Population, Electric Vehicles and Mobile Internet. |
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8 Aug 2017 - Fund Review: Insync Global Titans Fund July 2017
INSYNC GLOBAL TITANS FUND
Attached is our most recently updated Fund Review on the Insync Global Titans Fund.
We would like to highlight the following:
- The Global Titans Fund invests in a concentrated portfolio of 15-30 stocks, targeting exceptional, large cap global companies with a strong focus on dividend growth and downside protection.
- Portfolio selection is driven by a core strategy of investing in companies with sustainable growth in dividends, high returns on capital, positive free cash flows and strong balance sheets.
- Emphasis on limiting downside risk is through extensive company research, the ability to hold cash and long protective index put options.
For further details on the Fund, please do not hesitate to contact us.
4 Aug 2017 - Bennelong Long Short Equity Fund
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Fund Overview | In a typical environment the Fund will hold around 70 stocks comprising 35 pairs. Each pair contains one long and one short position each of which will have been thoroughly researched and are selected from the same market sector. Whilst in an ideal environment each stock's position will make a positive return, it is the relative performance of the pair that is important. As a result the Fund can make positive returns when each stock moves in the same direction provided the long position outperforms the short one in relative terms. However, if neither side of the trade is profitable, strict controls are required to ensure losses are limited. The Fund uses no derivatives and has no currency exposure. The Fund has no hard stop loss limits, instead relying on the small average position size per stock (1.5%) and per pair (3%) to limit exposure. Where practical pairs are always held within the same sector to limit cross sector risk, and positions can be held for months or years. The Bennelong Market Neutral Fund, with same strategy and liquidity is available for retail investors as a Listed Investment Company (LIC) on the ASX. |
Manager Comments | The manager's outlook for markets remains cautious. A statistic that caught their eye during the month was the news that the infamous VIX Index or 'fear index' (formerly, the Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index) reached its lowest ever level in its 27 year history causing them to wonder if such complacency justified? Their response: Not according to Howard Marks at Oaktree Capital, who in his latest memo noted: 'The uncertainties are unusual in terms of number, scale and insolubility in areas including secular economic growth; the impact of central banks; interest rates and inflation; political dysfunction; geopolitical trouble spots; and the long-term impact of technology.' |
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1 Aug 2017 - Touchstone Index Unaware Fund
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Fund Overview | The portfolio is constructed using Touchstone's Quality-At-a-Reasonable-Price ('QARP') investment process. QARP is a fundamental bottom-up process, however, it also incorporates a top-down risk management framework designed to successfully manage the portfolio during varying market conditions and economic cycles. The Touchstone Fund is concentrated, typically holding between 15-20 stocks. No individual stock will ever make up more than 10% of the portfolio at any one time. The Investment Manager may temporarily exceed the exposure limits of the Fund occasionally, particularly during periods of market volatility, to allow for holdings in excess of this 10% limit where the increase in value of the underlying security is due to market movement. The Fund may also hold between 0-50% of the portfolio in cash. The Fund has a high level of associated risk, therefore, the minimum suggested investment time-frame is 5 years. |
Manager Comments | In June, positive performers included IAG (+6.6%), Resmed (+6.7%) and James Hardie (+6.7%). IAG's performance was principally driven by an upgrade to its FY17 earnings and increased confidence in earnings growth. Resmed rallied with positive momentum reported on its new product launches and rectification of recent product issues. James Hardie performed positively as the market gained confidence that the factors impacting margins for their US Fibre-Cement division should improve going forward. Negative contributors for the month included QBE (-8.5%), Wesfarmers (-6.0%) and Goodman Group (-5.9%). Touchstone maintains a positive outlook for Wesfarmers and Goodman Group, and expects that QBE will benefit from a recovery in the global insurance market and higher interest rates. Touchstone noted that volatility has edged back into markets as fears over tighter monetary policy and high valuations have clouded the outlook for the year ahead. The Manager believes that given the heightened uncertainty, the market remains very vulnerable to external shocks. As such, they remain cautious and have reflected this in their portfolio positioning. |
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1 Aug 2017 - Hedge Clippings
Some disconcerting statistics...
Equity markets fluctuate on a daily basis, and as a result investors can become very, if not short sighted, at least short term in their outlook. Fund managers on the other hand need to have both a short and longer term vision: Short term to make sure that their monthly performance, upon which the investor judges them, encourages inflows, and longer term to ensure that they are at least investing in the right direction.
In many ways at both Hedge Clippings and Australian Fund Monitors we are part of the problem, reporting as we do on each fund's monthly performance. As such we can be accused of adding to the short termism, although we would argue that we are also focused significantly on the longer term, and particularly longer term risks. This ties in with the regulator's requirement, where investors are warned that investment in a managed fund (unlike a share on the ASX which can be traded daily) should be looked at over a 3 to 5 year time frame.
So where are we going with all this? Well, yesterday Hedge Clippings went to a seminar which featured a presentation from the Hon. Bernie Ripoll, talking about the influence of technology in general, but also financial services, and on financial advice in particular. He also touched on one of our favourite subjects, namely the accelerating change in demographics, but more of that in moment.
When talking about technology, Bernie reminded his audience that it is 10 years since launch of the iPhone, at which time Steve Jobs said that there were three essential pieces of technology which he used frequently, namely his mobile phone, computer, and music player. With the release of the iPhone he only need one piece. This is not to promote Apple or the iPhone, but it is amazing how rapidly technology advances, and keep advancing. How could we contemplate our lives without one now - which with camera now included, makes four essential devices?
As far as financial services are concerned, technology has been slow to keep up with other industries or service sectors. Thanks to the dangers of money laundering and terrorism, purchasing a financial product has until recently ( excuse a small plug here for our Olivia123 online application system here) remained firmly in the pen and paper bucket. However one of the big advances, and buzzwords in financial services, at the current time is Robo Advice.
According to recent research by Investment Trends, 62% of financial advisers apparently believe that Robo Advice will not affect them. We beg to differ. Technology will increasingly affect every aspect of our lives, and financial services and advice will not be immune from change. It might not be pure push button, algorithmic, robo advice, but financial services, like all industries or sectors, will be revolutionised by technology, either resulting in better decisions, or driving down the cost.
As mentioned earlier, Bernie also brought up some interesting statistics on demographics and the ageing population. Whilst happy to criticise the current government (not surprisingly given his political persuasion) the reality is that governments of both parties have dropped the ball, lost the plot, call it what you will, when it comes to providing for the long term financial future of both individuals and the nation. They are not structuring superannuation, which in its original form was designed to reduce the drain on the public purse caused by people retiring and drawing a pension, for the long-term
Consider these uncomfortable statistics (especially if you still expect to be around for some time to come): According to Bernie's research:
- In 1975 there were 7.3 working people (PAYE taxpayers) in Australia for every person over the age of 65 (and therefore presumably eligible for a pension).
- As of 2017 this has dropped to 4.5 working people for every person over the age of 65.
- Fast forward to 2055, and it is estimated that there will be only 2.7 Australians working for every person over the age of 65.
The taxation burden on those 2.7 people will obviously be enormous, particularly if they are not encouraged to become self-supporting in their retirement in the meantime. We would argue that they shouldn't be encouraged to become self-supporting, wherever possible they should be forced to become self-supporting. Restricting the amount of money that Australian workers can put into their retirement simply to balance the short term budget doesn't make sense in the long-term,.
While talking about superannuation and demographics, a couple of other scary statistics:
- By 2055 is estimated there will be twice as many people over the age of 65 than there are today.
- There will be four times as many people over the age of 85 than there are today.
- By 2035 it is estimated there will be $9.5 trillion in superannuation, even though this will be insufficient to keep the majority of people in the manner to which they would like to be accustomed.
31 Jul 2017 - Bennelong Twenty20 Australian Equities Fund
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Fund Overview | The Fund is managed as one portfolio but comprises and combines two separately managed exposures: 1. An investment in the top 20 stocks of the markets, which the Fund achieves by taking an indexed position in the S&P/ASX 20 Index; and 2. An investment in the stocks beyond the S&P/ASX 20 Index. This exposure is managed on an active basis using a fundamental core approach. The Fund may also invest in securities expected to be listed on the ASX, securities listed or expected to be listed on other exchanges where such securities relate to ASX-listed securities.Derivative instruments may be used to replicate underlying positions and hedge market and company specific risks. The companies within the portfolio are primarily selected from, but not limited to, the S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index. The Fund typically holds between 40-55 stocks and thus is considered to be highly concentrated. This means that investors should expect to see high short-term volatility. The Fund seeks to achieve growth over the long-term, therefore the minimum suggested investment timeframe is 5 years. |
Manager Comments | Outperformance over the past quarter was largely explained by a number of the larger positions with active allocations, including Aristocrat Leisure which represented by far the largest contributor and is benefiting from management's five year journey to re-energise the business. Other contributors included Fisher & Paykel Healthcare, a manufacturer of breathing support devices, BWX, a manufacturer of skin care creams, and Reliance Worldwide, a manufacturer of plumbing products and water control valves. The largest detractor to performance was Domino's Pizza Enterprises, however, Bennelong believes the stock offers attractive longer term returns. Bennelong are concerned that a major issue with the Australian market approaching reporting season is earnings risk if companies miss the market's expectations. Based on company meetings and industry contact, their belief is that many corporates are doing it tougher than is appreciated by the market. If correct, the assumed E in the current P/E ratio (15.8x) is too high and in reality the PE is actually higher. However, the current attraction of equities depends on the future direction of interest rates. |
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28 Jul 2017 - Collins St Value Fund
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Fund Overview | The managers of the fund intend to maintain a concentrated portfolio of investments in ASX listed companies that they have investigated and consider to be undervalued. They will assess the attractiveness of potential investments using a number of common industry based measured, a proprietary in-house model and by speaking with management, industry experts and competitors. Once the managers form a view that an investment offers sufficient upside potential relative to the downside risk, the fund will seek to make an investment. If no appropriate investment can be identified the managers are prepared to hold cash and wait for the right opportunities to present themselves. |
Manager Comments | The Manager noted that the Fund's PE ratio (based on the weighted average of all stocks in the portfolio) at the end of June was 9.21 whilst that of the market was 17.27, underlying the Fund's strategy of investing in businesses priced cheaply relative to the market. As at the end of June the Fund's cash holdings decreased to 22% from 28% at the end of May. Sirtex (ASX: SRX) contributed positively to the Fund's performance whilst the manager re-entered a position in Cash Converters (ASX: CCV) which had previously been closed out at a loss and had contributed negatively. The Manager believes that both companies remain well positioned for growth. Looking forward Collins St see a number of issues which cause them concern, including high market valuations, a stretched property market, and high levels of consumer debt. |
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27 Jul 2017 - Paragon Australian Long Short Fund
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Fund Overview | Paragon believes that markets are not always efficient, exhibiting a common tendency to price securities well outside of their intrinsic value over the medium term. This market characteristic provides the opportunity for Paragon, an active manager with a flexible mandate, to generate superior investment returns over the longer term. Paragon believes that it is critical to understand both the companies and the industries in which they operate, in order to fully comprehend each investment opportunity. Accordingly, a fundamental approach to company research is taken. Assessing the potential downside is also paramount in framing the risk/reward trade-off for potential investments. |
Manager Comments | The main contributors to the positive result in June were gains in Link Administration, James Hardie, Collins Foods, Updater and Audinate, plus short positions in Stockland and Metals X. At the end of the month the Fund had 36 long positions and 19 short positions. Many of the Fund's strongest performers from FY15 and FY16 partially retreated mainly as a result of market rotation, along with some specific issues, and citing as an example Netcomm Wireless, which had contributed 9% of the Fund's gross performance in FY16 (when the Fund returned a net 37%) giving back 1.7% in FY17. |
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27 Jul 2017 - NWQ Fiduciary Fund
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Fund Overview | The Fund aims to produce returns, after management fees and expenses of between 8% to 11% p.a. over rolling five-year periods. Furthermore, the Fund aims to achieve these returns with volatility that is a fraction of the Australian equity market, in order to smooth returns for investors. |
Manager Comments | Performance of the Fund's underlying managers was broad-based, with nine of the ten delivering a positive return. The Fund's returns were largely driven by its underlying Alpha managers, which collectively contributed +0.75% to overall performance. This performance was complemented by Beta managers, which contributed a solid +0.19%. |
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