NEWS
15 Jan 2018 - Fund Review: Bennelong Long Short Equity Fund December 2017
BENNELONG LONG SHORT EQUITY FUND
Attached is our most recently updated Fund Review on the Bennelong Long Short Equity Fund.
- The Fund is a research driven, market and sector neutral, "pairs" trading strategy investing primarily in large large-caps from the ASX/S&P100 Index, with over fourteen-year track record and annualised returns of 16.38% p.a.
- The consistent returns across the investment history indicate the Fund's ability to provide positive returns in volatile and negative markets and significantly outperform the broader market. The Fund's Sharpe Ratio and Sortino Ratio are 0.99 and 1.64 respectively.
For further details on the Fund, please do not hesitate to contact us.
12 Jan 2018 - Hedge Clippings, 12 January, 2018
With a new year beginning it is no doubt time to consider what's in store? Whilst tempting to think there's more of the same, things rarely work that way, but before we start looking into the crystal ball, let's take a look at the year that was:
From an Australian equity market perspective it started and finished well, but sagged in the middle before finishing up 11.8% on a total return basis. That's a reasonable return vs. cash, but it was the exceptionally low interest rate environment which helped explain a significant proportion of the equity market's performance.
Overall (allowing that some funds are yet to report their December results) the average return of all funds in AFM's data base broadly matched the market at +11%, while local equity based funds fared better at +13.97%.
From a strategy perspective Long Only funds provided the best returns at +17.46%, followed by Long/Short and Equity 130/30 at +15.04 and 13.84% respectively.
Australian small caps with the big winners in 2017, particularly as the big banks and Telstra struggled. As a result those funds returning over 20% per annum tended to be focused on the small cap sector, or had a global or Asian geographic mandate.
On a global basis the Australian market significantly underperformed the S&P500's total return of almost 22%. One big difference between the two markets was that on average the ASX200 provided investors with a dividend return of 4.75%, compared with the S&P500 of 2.4%.
Looking forward: Undoubtedly on a global basis after 10 years of falling interest rates and central-bank support, equity markets have been, if not propped up, at least well supported. This environment however is coming to an end with interest rates in the US starting to rise in a (hopefully) measured fashion, whilst locally interest rate rises would seem to still be a few quarters away at least.
There's been much discussion in the media over the past couple of weeks with forecasts of more of the same for 2018, or alternatively the end of the dance party as interest rates increase. While there is certainly potential for that, provided the slow unsteady measured approach continues we would expect that equity markets, even though their valuations are stretched on a historical basis, will remain supported. However that won't go on forever, and at some stage there will be a switch in asset allocation. As ever, keep a watchful eye on the bond market, many times larger and more powerful than its attention seeking equity market cousin.
So if interest rates remain stable, or at least rise gradually, where do the risks lie looking forward? We would expect them to be political, both in Australia and overseas. Whilst Trump has reduced corporate tax rates to 21% in the US, he remains somewhat of a loose cannon - or should that be finger - either tweeting, or on the button. In the short term North Korea seems to have stepped back from the brink, but how long that may last is anyone's guess. In Europe Germany is not as stable as it was, and the whole Brexit fiasco is a distraction and has a long way yet to play out on both sides of the English Channel.
Closer to home, aside from political issues, it would seem that property prices will remain both a talking point and a significant risk, with household debt at record levels leaving the RBA with the challenge of a fine balancing act as and when the inevitable tightening cycle commences.
12 Jan 2018 - Performance Report: Cyan C3G Fund
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Fund Overview | Cyan C3G Fund is based on the investment philosophy which can be defined as a comprehensive, clear and considered process focused on delivering growth. These are identified through stringent filter criteria and a rigorous research process. The Manager uses a proprietary stock filter in order to eliminate a large proportion of investments due to both internal characteristics (such as gearing levels or cash flow) and external characteristics (such as exposure to commodity prices or customer concentration). Typically, the Fund looks for businesses that are one or more of: a) under researched, b) fundamentally undervalued, c) have a catalyst for re-rating. The Manager seeks to achieve this investment outcome by actively managing a portfolio of Australian listed securities. When the opportunity to invest in suitable securities cannot be found, the manager may reduce the level of equities exposure and accumulate a defensive cash position. Whilst it is the company's intention, there is no guarantee that any distributions or returns will be declared, or that if declared, the amount of any returns will remain constant or increase over time. The Fund does not invest in derivatives and does not use debt to leverage the Fund's performance. However, companies in which the Fund invests may be leveraged. |
Manager Comments | Positive contributors included Afterpay Touch (+20%), Bluesky Alternative (+13%), Kelly Partners (+9%) and Motorcycle Holdings (+7%). Positions in Longtable (LON) and Credible (CRD) also contributed positively. Top contributors over 2017 included Afterpay Touch (+136%), Bluesky (+108%), PSI Insurance (+63%), Experience Co. (+40%), Kelly Partners (+74%), Moelis (+62%), Motorcycle Holdings (+22%) and Family Zone (+86%). Cyan noted the Fund remains well diversified with 26 individual holdings and no position accounting for more than 7% of the total Fund. The weighted average market cap is approximately $300m and all have met or exceeded recent expectations for business performance. In addition, they all contain what Cyan believe to be positive business catalysts over the short to medium term. The Fund continues to hold a significant defensive cash balance (currently over 35%) which Cyan will look to carefully deploy as opportunities arise. |
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11 Jan 2018 - Performance Report: Paragon Australian Long Short Fund
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Fund Overview | Paragon's unique investment style, comprising thematic led idea generation followed with an in depth research effort, results in a concentrated portfolio of high conviction stocks. Conviction in bottom up analysis drives the investment case and ultimate position sizing: * Both quantitative analysis - probability weighted high/low/base case valuations - and qualitative analysis - company meetings, assessing management, the business model, balance sheet strength and likely direction of returns - collectively form Paragon's overall view for each investment case. * Paragon will then allocate weighting to each investment opportunity based on a risk/reward profile, capped to defined investment parameters by market cap, which are continually monitored as part of Paragon's overall risk management framework. The objective of the Paragon Fund is to produce absolute returns in excess of 10% p.a. over a 3-5 year time horizon with a low correlation to the Australian equities market. |
Manager Comments | Performance in December was driven by contributions from long holdings in the Fund's electric vehicle theme, along with Updater, Aristocrat, Dacian Gold and Global Energy and short in Qantas, offset by declines in European Cobalt and New Century Zinc. At the end of the month the Fund had 39 long and 15 short positions. Paragon noted they remain constructive on markets, particularly within their areas of focus - Resources and Industrials, both exhibiting medium to long term tailwinds across the Fund's key thematics. In terms of the Fund's Resources thematics, Paragon noted Lithium and Cobalt continue to boast strong fundamentals. Paragon's proprietary Lithium Supply & Demand model shows industry deficits and strong Lithium prices for at least CY18 and CY19. With regards to the Industrials thematics, Paragon believe the strength in the emerging consumer will continue to drive ongoing growth in China facing industries. Paragon also believe their Medical Innovation and Mobile Internet thematics are set to go from strength to strength. |
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10 Jan 2018 - Fund Review: Insync Global Titans Fund November 2017
INSYNC GLOBAL TITANS FUND
Attached is our most recently updated Fund Review on the Insync Global Titans Fund.
We would like to highlight the following:
- The Global Titans Fund invests in a concentrated portfolio of 15-30 stocks, targeting exceptional, large cap global companies with a strong focus on dividend growth and downside protection.
- Portfolio selection is driven by a core strategy of investing in companies with sustainable growth in dividends, high returns on capital, positive free cash flows and strong balance sheets.
- Emphasis on limiting downside risk is through extensive company research, the ability to hold cash and long protective index put options.
For further details on the Fund, please do not hesitate to contact us.
9 Jan 2018 - Performance Report: Bennelong Long Short Equity Fund
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Fund Overview | In a typical environment the Fund will hold around 70 stocks comprising 35 pairs. Each pair contains one long and one short position each of which will have been thoroughly researched and are selected from the same market sector. Whilst in an ideal environment each stock's position will make a positive return, it is the relative performance of the pair that is important. As a result the Fund can make positive returns when each stock moves in the same direction provided the long position outperforms the short one in relative terms. However, if neither side of the trade is profitable, strict controls are required to ensure losses are limited. The Fund uses no derivatives and has no currency exposure. The Fund has no hard stop loss limits, instead relying on the small average position size per stock (1.5%) and per pair (3%) to limit exposure. Where practical pairs are always held within the same sector to limit cross sector risk, and positions can be held for months or years. The Bennelong Market Neutral Fund, with same strategy and liquidity is available for retail investors as a Listed Investment Company (LIC) on the ASX. |
Manager Comments | Positive performance was evenly spread across the top eight pairs, with no standout pair. The Fund's top performing pair was Long ALS Limited (ALQ) / short Aurizon (AZJ). The weakest pair was long Qantas (QAN) / short Flight Centre (FLT). Long Harvey Norman (HVN) / short Myer (MYR) / short Metcash (MTS) benefitted from a downgrade to Myer on weak sales preceding Christmas, however that was overshadowed by an upgrade to Metcash following improved interim results. The latest report discusses the Manager's outlook for equity markets. Bennelong highlight the relative size of the stock market to the size of the economy as a measure of valuation, noting that the current ratio of the Wilshire 5000 Index to US nominal GDP is about 130%. They note that this compares to a history of significant variation ranging from 40% during the late 1970's to 140% in the lead up to the late 1990's dot-com bubble. |
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8 Jan 2018 - Performance Report: Collins St Value Fund
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Fund Overview | The managers of the fund intend to maintain a concentrated portfolio of investments in ASX listed companies that they have investigated and consider to be undervalued. They will assess the attractiveness of potential investments using a number of common industry based measured, a proprietary in-house model and by speaking with management, industry experts and competitors. Once the managers form a view that an investment offers sufficient upside potential relative to the downside risk, the fund will seek to make an investment. If no appropriate investment can be identified the managers are prepared to hold cash and wait for the right opportunities to present themselves. |
Manager Comments | The Manager noted they continue to track economic activity and seek out value on a stock level, and that they currently own a number of positions that offer significant promise. The Fund invests in sustainable cash-flow generating businesses that are trading at significant discounts to their underlying worth. In the Fund's latest report, Collins St briefly discuss cryptocurrencies. They noted they don't offer a view when asked other than to note that most investors in the asset appear to be unsophisticated, and that current prices appear to be disconnected from the fundamental value of the underlying technology. Collins St continue to watch with fascination and a little trepidation. |
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5 Jan 2018 - Performance Report: Pengana PanAgora Absolute Return Global Equities Fund
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Fund Overview | PanAgora believes the best way to find opportunities in the global markets is to combine fundamental analysis with robust quantitative techniques in order to filter the investment universe and select the investments. The Fund invests primarily in listed equity securities from a global universe of developed markets and a select group of emerging market countries. The Fund's objective is to seek absolute returns by identifying and exploiting multiple inefficiencies that may exist in global equity markets. These inefficiencies are primarily exploited through the use of a long/short equity strategy which aims to construct a portfolio that is generally neutral to market movements. As such the performance of the investment strategy is largely independent of the market's performance. The Fund seeks to achieve its objective by using a diversified set of strategies that have low correlation to one another. In addition, because many of these strategies are designed to generate profit under different market conditions, their combination is expected to result in more stable returns over time than any individual strategy in and of itself. |
Manager Comments | November performance was driven by the long-term portfolio (+0.71%), with strong performance coming from the US large cap stocks. Intermediate-term strategies contributed a marginal +0.02%. The short-term strategies contributed +0.18% in large part due to the success of trades prompted by the reconstitution of MSCI indices. In the long-term portfolio, IT (+0.79%), Health Care (+0.64%), and Consumer Discretionary (+0.55) were the largest sector contributors. The largest contributors in IT was Marvell Technology. Marvell remains a long position in the portfolio due to a good alpha score. In Health Care, a short in Tesaro was the largest contributor and remains a short position in the portfolio. The top performing position within Consumer Discretionary was a long position in International Game Technology. |
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5 Jan 2018 - Performance Report: Bennelong Australian Equities Fund
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Fund Overview | The Bennelong Australian Equities Fund seeks quality investment opportunities which are under-appreciated and have the potential to deliver positive earnings. The investment process combines bottom-up fundamental analysis with proprietary investment tools that are used to build and maintain high quality portfolios that are risk aware. The investment team manages an extensive company/industry contact program which helps identify and verify various investment opportunities. The companies within the portfolio are primarily selected from, but not limited to, the S&P/ASX 300 Index. The Fund may invest in securities listed on other exchanges where such securities relate to the ASX-listed securities. The Fund typically holds between 25-60 stocks with a maximum net targeted position of an individual stock of 6%. |
Manager Comments | At the end of November, the Fund's weightings were increased in the Health Care, Consumer Staples and Materials sectors and were decreased in the Discretionary, Industrials, Utilities and Financials sectors. The Fund's portfolio characteristics, as shown in the latest report, are in line with the Fund's objective of investing in high quality businesses with strong growth outlooks and underestimated earnings and momentum prospects. At the end of November the Fund held 27 stocks, the top 5 being CSL, Westpac, Aristocrat Leisure, NAB and Treasury Wine Estates. |
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4 Jan 2018 - Performance Report: Touchstone Index Unaware Fund
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Fund Overview | The portfolio is constructed using Touchstone's Quality-At-a-Reasonable-Price ('QARP') investment process. QARP is a fundamental bottom-up process, however, it also incorporates a top-down risk management framework designed to successfully manage the portfolio during varying market conditions and economic cycles. The Touchstone Fund is concentrated, typically holding between 15-20 stocks. No individual stock will ever make up more than 10% of the portfolio at any one time. The Investment Manager may temporarily exceed the exposure limits of the Fund occasionally, particularly during periods of market volatility, to allow for holdings in excess of this 10% limit where the increase in value of the underlying security is due to market movement. The Fund may also hold between 0-50% of the portfolio in cash. The Fund has a high level of associated risk, therefore, the minimum suggested investment time-frame is 5 years. |
Manager Comments | The Touchstone Index Unaware Fund primarily selects stocks from the S&P/ASX 300 Index and typically holds 10-30 stocks. It seeks to invest in reasonably priced, good quality companies with a significant share of expected returns coming from sustainable dividends. |
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