NEWS
25 Jan 2018 - Hedge Clippings, Thursday 25 January
Over the past couple of weeks Hedge Clippings has looked at the returns of Australian hedge funds over 2017 - particularly equity based funds which on average outperformed the market - returning +13.02% against the ASX 200 Accumulation Index 11.8%. However we also noted that averages were sometimes misleading, with many funds significantly outperforming the average.
Looking at similar figures from Eureka Hedge (based in Singapore and whose focus is global funds rather than Australian), the average global fund was only up 8.25% for the year, with 79% of fund managers in positive territory, compared with Australian funds with almost 93% in positive territory. Comparing apples with apples on a strategy basis, Australian equity long/short funds returned 14.23% vs their global peers performance of +12.39%, while in the long only strategy the locals again outperformed returning 17.05% vs. 16.85%.
These results are even more impressive considering the local market's underperformance compared to the return of 21.83% by the S&P500 where the bulk of global equity managers invest. So not only did the locals outperform their overseas peers and the local market, but the global industry underperformed the global market.
There could be reasons for this of course, one being that the majority of funds in the www.fundmonitors.com database investing in Australia have limited FUM, and rarely above $1 billion, compared to the many larger $5bn+ US funds, with high FUM historically leading to lower returns. However to a great degree it is down to the depth of quality managers in Australia, and a market which is under researched - particularly outside the top 100 or 200 stocks, providing significant opportunities for managers investing in companies that are travelling under the brokers' research radar.
However the bottom line reality is that there are some outstanding local fund managers, large and small, who consistently perform on a global scale.
Moving away from the subject of hedge funds for a moment, and given that it is the day before Australia Day, Hedge Clippings has been pondering whether as a nation we are making the most of our opportunities. Australia is often considered to be the "lucky country" with its abundance of resources, a great climate, and a multicultural and generally tolerant society which most countries would be proud of.
For instance, take the ridiculous and distracting argument about the date upon which we celebrate Australia Day, and even what it should be called. All Nations and civilisations have aspects of their past they might prefer had not occurred. However, instead of arguing about the date or trying to airbrush history, surely we should be using the day to not only celebrate our successes, but also redoubling our efforts to ensure that we have a fairer and more inclusive society for all - irrespective of past wrongs.
And at the end of the day what event has shaped this nation, warts and all, more than the arrival of the First Fleet, on January 26, 1788?
Australia may well be the lucky country, but I'm not sure we are very smart. When in the UK recently (hardly renowned as one of the sunniest places in the world) I was struck by the number of fields alongside motorways in which there were rows and rows of solar panels. At the same time the UK, along with many other nations, are looking forward by planning for the end of the internal combustion engine.
Solar and alternative power and electric vehicles on just two examples of where the average Australian seems keen to move, but is being restricted by political dogma and vested interests, not only of certain industries, but also of an unsafe seat in Canberra.
There's an old saying: "Unless you embrace change before it occurs, you will be decimated by it when it does!"
And on that note, we wish all readers a Happy Australia Day, however you wish to spend it.
25 Jan 2018 - Performance Report: Pengana Absolute Return Asia Pacific Fund
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Fund Overview | The Fund will usually hold 40 to 80 positions and will be well diversified across the various event strategies. In keeping with the absolute return focus the Manager will eliminate market risk where appropriate by hedging market and foreign currency risks. Since inception the Fund has averaged a net equity market exposure of ~10%. Sizing of an investment position will depend on the expected risk adjusted returns while taking account the liquidity and volatility of the stock. In addition, the maximum potential loss on any one position should be greater than 0.5% of the NAV and the position should not exceed 30% participation of stressed volume assuming a $200m NAV. Other criteria considered are ability to hedge and the availability of pair candidates as well as the average bid-ask size. For M&A strategies average long position is 3 to 5.5% and average short position 2 to 5%. |
Manager Comments | M&A, Directional and Relative Value strategies all contributed positively for the month. The M&A sub-strategy contributed +0.8%, with a 2017 total contribution of +6.4%. The largest contributor for December was Hutchison Telecom (+10.2%). The Relative Value book contributed +0.5%, the largest contributor was the Fund's long/short position in long SG Holdings / short Yamato Holdings. The Directional Alpha book contributed +0.9% for the month. Key contributors included China Foods (+18.4%), China Travel (+15%) and Wagners Holdings (+28%), whilst the key detractor was Softbank (-6.0%). |
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24 Jan 2018 - Performance Report: NWQ Fiduciary Fund
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Fund Overview | The Fund aims to produce returns, after management fees and expenses of between 8% to 11% p.a. over rolling five-year periods. Furthermore, the Fund aims to achieve these returns with volatility that is a fraction of the Australian equity market, in order to smooth returns for investors. |
Manager Comments | The recent strong performance of the Fund's underlying managers continued with positive contributions to overall performance made by each underlying manager. The Fund's Beta managers benefited from the tailwinds of rising equity markets in December and both the Alpha and Beta managers made gains on favourable stock-specific developments over the course of the month. NWQ believe with the prospect of global interest rate normalisation--led by the US--ahead in 2018, equity market volatility is likely to increase from its current historic lows. The market neutral or 'hedged' profile of the Fund means that it is appropriately positioned should this heightened volatility materialise. |
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23 Jan 2018 - Performance Report: Bennelong Australian Equities Fund
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Fund Overview | The Bennelong Australian Equities Fund seeks quality investment opportunities which are under-appreciated and have the potential to deliver positive earnings. The investment process combines bottom-up fundamental analysis with proprietary investment tools that are used to build and maintain high quality portfolios that are risk aware. The investment team manages an extensive company/industry contact program which helps identify and verify various investment opportunities. The companies within the portfolio are primarily selected from, but not limited to, the S&P/ASX 300 Index. The Fund may invest in securities listed on other exchanges where such securities relate to the ASX-listed securities. The Fund typically holds between 25-60 stocks with a maximum net targeted position of an individual stock of 6%. |
Manager Comments | Over the quarter, top contributors included Treasury Wine Estates, Costa Group and Aristocrat Leisure. Detractors included Reliance Worldwide and Flight Centre. The Fund's underweight position in the Resource and Energy sectors also detracted from relative performance. Bennelong noted portfolio positioning has remained unchanged since the Fund's last quarterly report. The Fund has a heavy concentration to 'all weather' businesses selling relatively defensive products or services and a heavy concentration in global businesses. The Manager remains wary of domestic cyclicals such as retailers, media companies, builders and industrials. The Fund has very little exposure to the banks, commodities companies and selective exposure to bond proxies. The Manager also noted they're unexcited by most blue chips due to their lack of growth. |
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22 Jan 2018 - Performance Report: Bennelong Twenty20 Australian Equities Fund
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Fund Overview | The Fund is managed as one portfolio but comprises and combines two separately managed exposures: 1. An investment in the top 20 stocks of the markets, which the Fund achieves by taking an indexed position in the S&P/ASX 20 Index; and 2. An investment in the stocks beyond the S&P/ASX 20 Index. This exposure is managed on an active basis using a fundamental core approach. The Fund may also invest in securities expected to be listed on the ASX, securities listed or expected to be listed on other exchanges where such securities relate to ASX-listed securities.Derivative instruments may be used to replicate underlying positions and hedge market and company specific risks. The companies within the portfolio are primarily selected from, but not limited to, the S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index. The Fund typically holds between 40-55 stocks and thus is considered to be highly concentrated. This means that investors should expect to see high short-term volatility. The Fund seeks to achieve growth over the long-term, therefore the minimum suggested investment timeframe is 5 years. |
Manager Comments | Over the quarter the Fund outperformed the Index by +1.17%. Top contributors were BWX Limited, Experience Co, Costa Group and Aristocrat Leisure. Detractors included Reliance Worldwide and Flight Centre as well as the Fund's underweight position in the Resources and Energy sectors. Bennelong believe investors have become less cautious since the Fund's last quarterly report, pointing specifically to the recent demand for lithium stocks, disruptive technology names, pre-revenue concept stocks and bitcoin. They believe in these cases value seems to be largely in the eye of the beholder rather than any observable fundamentals. Bennelong see the greatest risk to equities at present to be a rise in interest rates and tightening of liquidity. Their view is that rates may lift, but not dramatically so. |
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19 Jan 2018 - Hedge Clippings, Friday 19 January, 2018
Hedge Clippings enjoyed catching up on Sky Business this morning with an old colleague, and frequently quoted market commentator, Macquarie Wealth Management's Martin Lakos, along with Ric Spooner from CMC Markets. Discussing actively managed funds with a couple of market professionals who come from a different section of the market provides one with a different perspective, which is always useful. Amongst other things we discussed the underperformance of the Australian equity market over the past 12 months (actually over the past 10 years) compared with other markets, particularly the S&P500, and how Australian managed funds have fared in this environment.
Inevitably these types conversations tend to quote averages, which remembering the old adage that if "one's head is in the freezer, and toes in the oven, than your average temperature is comfortable", means averages can be misleading. However we did quote both the average return of actively managed equity funds in 2017 (+13.10%) against the return of the ASX 200 accumulation index at +11.8% which suggested they performed marginally, but not dramatically better. However as per the freezer and oven analogy above, there's a dramatic range amongst the diverse nature of Australian actively managed funds.
For instance, taking all funds and all strategies, the best performing fund returned 75%, whilst the worst fell 21%. The median return was 13.34%, with 55% of all funds outperforming the ASX200, and with 95% of all funds in positive territory. With this extreme distribution spread of returns, inevitably questions were asked: Whilst there was certainly a focus on funds investing in small and micro cap stocks, plus those with Asian or global mandates amongst the top performers, this was by no means universal.
Equally it is difficult for a manager to consistently perform in the top quintile year in, year out, but undoubtedly the best ones manage to do so, if not every year, then at least regularly. Another aspect discussed was that top performance does not necessarily equate to the best returns: Frequently what investors are looking for, particularly in the absolute return space, is effective risk management thereby resulting in limited drawdowns.
Further discussions ensued regarding fund flows - whether positive or negative. We were happy to report that fund flows were broadly positive, albeit they obviously favour the better performing funds. However when looking behind the reasons for increased fund flows, anecdotal evidence would suggest that self-managed superannuation funds, or at least their trustees, are significantly made up of baby boomers, who as a natural result of their age, or financial security, are now more risk aware and less focused on trading individual stocks on the market than they were 10 or 20 years ago. At the same time they tend to have significantly more capital to invest, either on a personal basis or within their SMSF.
The other great benefit of a properly selected portfolio of managed funds, apart from hiring the expertise required, is the diversification obtained as a result. With most actively managed funds holding between say 25 to 75 individual stocks, with careful selection of even just five funds, an individual investor can have exposure to 100 to 300 stocks across multiple sectors and geographical markets, providing excellent diversification of risk. Certainly there is not the individual involvement of market trading that many investors enjoy, but sometimes leaving it to the experts is a safer and more relaxing option.
19 Jan 2018 - Performance Report: Allard Investment Fund
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Fund Overview | Allard's investment approach has remained consistent throughout their history: That is to invest prudently but proactively in well-managed businesses that achieve superior returns on capital in industries with long-term growth potential. The Manager uses both broad top-down guidance and detailed bottom-up analysis to identify suitable markets, industries and companies. Although long only investors, a critical factor in their strategy and performance is the ability to hold cash when they cannot find companies that meet their criteria or are at a sufficient discount to their valuations. |
Manager Comments | The Fund's latest report shows that holdings in Cash and Fixed Income have increased to 22.2% from 20.7% as at the end of November. The portfolios weightings were decreased in the Industrials, IT, Health Care, Utilities, Telco, Real Estate and Financial sectors while the Fund increased its Consumer Discretionary sector weighting. The portfolio remains highly concentrated, with 53% of NAV held in the Fund's top 10 stocks. Geographically, Hong Kong and China make up most of the portfolio (44.9%), followed by Singapore (13.0%), India (10.8%), Korea (4.9%), Indonesia (2.1%), Australia (1.1%) and Vietnam (1.0%). |
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18 Jan 2018 - Performance Report: ARCO Absolute Trust (formerly Optimal)
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Fund Overview | The Fund's bias is likely to be net long under normal market conditions, with the core strategy being to construct a portfolio of listed equity securities priced at levels that do not adequately reflect their underlying value. The Fund will seek to boost returns and limit potential market downside by selective short selling of individual stocks which are priced at levels that are viewed as materially above their underlying value. The Fund will also use certain trading strategies both within its core portfolio (through rebalancing stock weights and overall market exposure in response to price movements) and in certain other situations (typically of a shorter-duration and/or opportunistic nature) with the objective of further increasing returns. *Formerly the Optimal Australia Absolute Trust |
Manager Comments | The portfolio's long positions dominated December's performance result. The Fund's resources exposure drove solid returns, with contributions from BHP, LYC, ORE and TAW. WFD and TLS also contributed positively. AHG and QUB were modest negative performers in the long portfolio, however, ARCO retain their conviction in these stocks with a positive outlook. The Fund's short portfolio contributed negatively overall, with select insurance and industrial shorts being the principal detractors. ARCO noted that they retain their cautious view of the local banking sector which they expect to continue to struggle in 2018 with low earning growth, adverse credit quality, restructuring and political risks representing headwinds blowing strongly in the face of still attractive dividend yields. |
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17 Jan 2018 - Bennelong Twenty20 Australian Equities Fund December 2017
BENNELONG TWENTY20 AUSTRALIAN EQUITIES FUND
Attached is our most recently updated Fund Review on the Bennelong Twenty20 Australian Equities Fund.
- The Bennelong Twenty20 Australian Equities Fund invests in ASX listed stocks, combining an indexed position in the Top 20 stocks with an actively managed portfolio of stocks outside the Top 20. Construction of the ex-top 20 portfolio is fundamental, bottom-up, core investment style, biased to quality stocks, with a structured risk management approach.
- Mark East, the Fund's Chief Investment Officer, and Keith Kwang, Director of Quantitative Research have over 50 years combined market experience. Bennelong Funds Management (BFM) provides the investment manager, Bennelong Australian Equity Partners (BAEP) with infrastructure, operational, compliance and distribution services.
For further details on the Fund, please do not hesitate to contact us.
16 Jan 2018 - Fund Review: ARCO Absolute Trust December 2017
ARCO ABSOLUTE TRUST (formerly Optimal Australia Absolute Trust)
AFM have released the most recently updated Fund Review on the ARCO Absolute Trust.
We would like to highlight the following aspects of the Fund;
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ARCO Investment Management is a specialist Australian equity investment manager and the Fund has a long/short equity strategy typically with a low but variable net market exposure comprising 40 to 65 stocks broadly selected from within the ASX200.
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The investment team comprising George Colman, Peter Whiting, and Stephen Nicholls bring 100 years combined experience in equity markets.
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The Fund has an annualised return since inception of +8.53%. The Fund's approach to risk is shown by the Sharpe ratio of 1.39 (Index 0.30), Sortino ratio of 3.01 (Index 0.33), both of which are well above the ASX 200 Accumulation Index and has recorded over 79% positive months.
For further details on the Fund, please do not hesitate to contact us.