NEWS
27 Oct 2017 - Performance Report: Allard Investment Fund
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Fund Overview | Allard's investment approach has remained consistent throughout their history: That is to invest prudently but proactively in well-managed businesses that achieve superior returns on capital in industries with long-term growth potential. The Manager uses both broad top-down guidance and detailed bottom-up analysis to identify suitable markets, industries and companies. Although long only investors, a critical factor in their strategy and performance is the ability to hold cash when they cannot find companies that meet their criteria or are at a sufficient discount to their valuations. |
Manager Comments | The Fund's latest report shows that holdings in cash and fixed income have decreased to 23.2% of the portfolio, down from 23.7% as at the end of August. The portfolio's weightings were decreased in the Industrials, IT, Health Care, Telco and Financials sectors while its weightings in the Utilities, Consumer Discretionary, Consumer Staples and Real Estate sectors were increased. The portfolio remains highly concentrated, with 52.7% of NAV held in the Fund's top 10 stocks. Geographically, Hong Kong and China make up most of the portfolio (43.4%), followed by Singapore (+14.3), India (+11.4%), Korea (+5.1%), Vietnam (+1.6%) and Indonesia (+1.0%). |
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27 Oct 2017 - Performance Report: Qato Capital Market Neutral Fund
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Fund Overview | The Fund seeks to preserve capital and maximise absolute returns through active and constant risk management, targeting monthly a net market exposure of 0% to hedge broader market risks by generally holding up to 50 S&P/ASX-100 positions (up to 25 long positions & 25 short positions). Historically, the strategy has been uncorrelated to traditional asset classes with a negative beta to equity markets. Qato Capital's process is entirely systematic - stock selection and risk management are all employed in a rules based approach. Positions in Qato's long-portfolio and short-portfolio are rotated monthly dependent upon their Q-Score ranking. The strategy employs no financial leverage/gearing to purchase securities, no derivatives and no financial products to imitate leverage. |
Manager Comments | Positive contributors in September included long positions in Qantas, Lendlease (+10.27%), Cimic Group (+6.62%) and CYBG (+9.36%). Of Qato's short book, falls in TPG Telecom (-11.29%), Telstra (-4.90%), Fortescue (-10.88%), OZ Minerals, QBE (-4.12%), Newcrest Mining (-8.01%) and Evolution Mining (-8.68%) contributed positively. Negative contributors included a short position in South32 which rallied +14.78% and a long position in Flight Centre which fell -5.02%. Qato Capital note that September saw the addition of another element to the Qato Risk Model, which further complements the existing risk management process. Specifically, the prevailing global risk regime algorithm will allow Qato to dynamically adjust its risk management models. |
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27 Oct 2017 - Performance Report: Bennelong Australian Equities Fund
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Fund Overview | The Bennelong Australian Equities Fund seeks quality investment opportunities which are under-appreciated and have the potential to deliver positive earnings. The investment process combines bottom-up fundamental analysis with proprietary investment tools that are used to build and maintain high quality portfolios that are risk aware. The investment team manages an extensive company/industry contact program which helps identify and verify various investment opportunities. The companies within the portfolio are primarily selected from, but not limited to, the S&P/ASX 300 Index. The Fund may invest in securities listed on other exchanges where such securities relate to the ASX-listed securities. The Fund typically holds between 25-60 stocks with a maximum net targeted position of an individual stock of 6%. |
Manager Comments | The Fund benefited from strong returns during the quarter from Flight Centre, Reliance Worldwide and Costa Group. The largest detractors were Ramsay Health Care, Domino's Pizza Enterprises and Aristocrat Leisure as well as the Fund's underweight exposure to the strong performing Resources sector. Bennelong identify a rise in interest rates as a major risk to the Australian stock market, their view is that rates may lift, but not dramatically. Their belief is that higher rates will be attributable to higher inflation, which is likely to result from factors relating to innovation, demographics and under-employment. |
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25 Oct 2017 - Fund Review: Bennelong Kardinia Absolute Return Fund September 2017
BENNELONG KARDINIA ABSOLUTE RETURN FUND
Attached is our most recently updated Fund Review. You are also able to view the Fund's Profile.
- The Fund is long biased, research driven, active equity long/short strategy investing in listed ASX companies with over ten-year track record.
- The Fund has significantly outperformed the ASX200 Accumulation Index since its inception in May 2006 and also has significantly lower risk KPIs. The Fund has an annualised return of 10.67% p.a. with a volatility of 7.01%, compared to the ASX200 Accumulation's return of 5.26% p.a. with a volatility of 13.68%.
- The Fund also has a strong focus on capital protection in negative markets. Portfolio Managers Mark Burgess and Kristiaan Rehder have significant market experience, while Bennelong Funds Management provide infrastructure, operational, compliance and distribution capabilities.
For further details on the Fund, please do not hesitate to contact us.
20 Oct 2017 - Performance Report: 4D Global Infrastructure Fund
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Fund Overview | The fund will be managed as a single portfolio of listed global infrastructure securities including regulated utilities in gas, electricity and water, transport infrastructure such as airports, ports, road and rail as well as communication assets such as the towers and satellite sectors. The portfolio is intended to have exposure to both developed and emerging market opportunities, with country risk assessed internally before any investment is considered. The maximum absolute position of an individual stock is 7% of the fund. |
Manager Comments | Positive performers in September included Brazilian rail operator Rumo (+15.1%), Canadian pipeline operator Pembina (+11.2%) and US gas transporter Cheniere (+9%). Negative contributors included UK satellite operator Inmarsat (-8.1%) and Spanish airport operator AENA (-4.5%). The Fund remains overweight in user pays and underweight regulated utilities, and the Manager noted they are beginning to allocate cash to high quality, fundamentally attractive stocks that have lagged over the past few months. The Manager has a positive outlook for global listed infrastructure over the medium term. They note there has been a significant underinvestment in infrastructure around the world over the past 30 years and that public sector fiscal and debt constraints will limit governments' ability to respond, resulting in an increasing need for private sector capital as part of the funding solution. |
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20 Oct 2017 - Performance Report: Bennelong Twenty20 Australian Equities Fund
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Fund Overview | The Fund is managed as one portfolio but comprises and combines two separately managed exposures: 1. An investment in the top 20 stocks of the markets, which the Fund achieves by taking an indexed position in the S&P/ASX 20 Index; and 2. An investment in the stocks beyond the S&P/ASX 20 Index. This exposure is managed on an active basis using a fundamental core approach. The Fund may also invest in securities expected to be listed on the ASX, securities listed or expected to be listed on other exchanges where such securities relate to ASX-listed securities.Derivative instruments may be used to replicate underlying positions and hedge market and company specific risks. The companies within the portfolio are primarily selected from, but not limited to, the S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index. The Fund typically holds between 40-55 stocks and thus is considered to be highly concentrated. This means that investors should expect to see high short-term volatility. The Fund seeks to achieve growth over the long-term, therefore the minimum suggested investment timeframe is 5 years. |
Manager Comments | The Fund's outperformance over the quarter is largely due to a number of its larger ex-20 positions, including Reliance Worldwide, Flight Centre and Costa Group. Negative contributors included Domino's Pizza and Aristocrat Leisure as well as the Fund's underweight exposure to the resources sector. Bennelong note that, given recent stock market returns and a low ASX200 VIX Index among other factors, they believe selective ex-20 stock picking may be able to contribute positively to investor returns. They identify a rise in interest rates as a major risk to the Australian stock market, their view is that rates may lift, but not dramatically. Bennelong's belief is that higher rates will be attributable to higher inflation, which is likely to result from factors relating to innovation, demographics and under-employment. |
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20 Oct 2017 - Performance Report: Optimal Australia Absolute Trust
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Fund Overview | The Fund's bias is likely to be net long under normal market conditions, with the core strategy being to construct a portfolio of listed equity securities priced at levels that do not adequately reflect their underlying value. The Fund will seek to boost returns and limit potential market downside by selective short selling of individual stocks which are priced at levels that are viewed as materially above their underlying value. The Fund will also use certain trading strategies both within its core portfolio (through rebalancing stock weights and overall market exposure in response to price movements) and in certain other situations (typically of a shorter-duration and/or opportunistic nature) with the objective of further increasing returns. |
Manager Comments | The Trust's short positions contributed positively, however, most of the performance was driven by the long portfolio. Positive performers included CYBG, Automotive Holdings, Macquarie Bank and Janus, as well as the Trust's investment in lithium producers - Orecobre, Galaxy Resources and Pilbara Minerals. The Trust's increased exposure to retail REITs amid the Amazon-inspired sell-off also contributed positively. ARCO increased the Trust's long position in Telstra, however, this remained a drag on overall performance. They also moved to exit their investment in Santos, and closed their short position in Woodside. ARCO note that ultra-low interest rates may continue to underpin expensive equity valuations, however, they believe that this won't last much longer. They note that offshore central banks seem keen to lift rates and tighten liquidity, and that despite there being less immediate upward pressure on rates in Australia, Australian banks have been tightening credit for some time. ARCO remain wary about the outlook for housing and its implications for the banking sector and the economy more broadly. |
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20 Oct 2017 - Performance Report: NWQ Fiduciary Fund
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Fund Overview | The Fund aims to produce returns, after management fees and expenses of between 8% to 11% p.a. over rolling five-year periods. Furthermore, the Fund aims to achieve these returns with volatility that is a fraction of the Australian equity market, in order to smooth returns for investors. |
Manager Comments | All of the Fund's eleven underlying managers delivered positive returns in September, which NWQ see as particularly pleasing given the falling prices in the broader equity market. The Fund's Alpha managers (70% of the portfolio) contributed +1.69% and its Beta managers (25% of the portfolio) contributed +0.95% to performance over the month. NWQ note that despite the relatively benign performance of the equity market during September, the dispersion of stock returns both within and across sectors has started to pick up. NWQ expect this to continue and have positioned the portfolio accordingly. |
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20 Oct 2017 - Hedge Clippings, 20 October, 2017
Anniversary, yes. Celebration? No!
It is understandable that those who survived the October '87 crash would want to remember its 30th anniversary, less understandable that many, if any, might be celebrating the event itself. Remembering the past is a useful lesson when trying to avoid making the same mistakes again, although there is no doubt that it is only a matter of time before the next major market event occurs.
October '87 was the most significant market shock since the crash of 1929, but there have been a series of market shocks since, all of which were preceded, to a greater or lesser extent, by irrational buying, thereby creating the necessary asset price bubble before the inevitable pop. While the details of each event differs, the underlying causes do not: Asset pricing ceasing to reflect reality.
Looking at current Australian equity prices it is difficult to argue that the market is in bubble territory, even if valuations in certain sectors are certainly stretched on a historical basis. While the US market has certainly steamed ahead by comparison, a market pullback of 25 to 50% would seem unlikely based purely on stretched valuations. If anything is going to upset this market, (leaving aside Trump or North Korea) one would assume it is going to be driven by excessive debt, a tightening of credit, or higher interest rates, be that in the US, Australia or China.
Having said that, while it seems certain that the next move in interest rates will be up, it is difficult to see rates moving so sharply that they would create an equity market crash. However, with rates having been so low for so long, even a small (say 2 to 3%) increase could magnify the relative effect on a number of asset classes, particularly Australian residential property, and the banking sector as a result.
This is what concerns the RBA, but the difficulty would seem to be how to resolve the dilemma. As usual it will be those who are over-geared who will pay a price and learn the hard way.
19 Oct 2017 - Performance Report: Cyan C3G Fund
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Fund Overview | Cyan C3G Fund is based on the investment philosophy which can be defined as a comprehensive, clear and considered process focused on delivering growth. These are identified through stringent filter criteria and a rigorous research process. The Manager uses a proprietary stock filter in order to eliminate a large proportion of investments due to both internal characteristics (such as gearing levels or cash flow) and external characteristics (such as exposure to commodity prices or customer concentration). Typically, the Fund looks for businesses that are one or more of: a) under researched, b) fundamentally undervalued, c) have a catalyst for re-rating. The Manager seeks to achieve this investment outcome by actively managing a portfolio of Australian listed securities. When the opportunity to invest in suitable securities cannot be found, the manager may reduce the level of equities exposure and accumulate a defensive cash position. Whilst it is the company's intention, there is no guarantee that any distributions or returns will be declared, or that if declared, the amount of any returns will remain constant or increase over time. The Fund does not invest in derivatives and does not use debt to leverage the Fund's performance. However, companies in which the Fund invests may be leveraged. |
Manager Comments | Positive performers for the month include Kelly Partners Group (+12), Skydive the Beach (+16), PSC Insurance (+8%), Afterpay Touch (+11%) and Family Zone (+38%). Cyan notes that in recent months an increased desire for smaller companies has lead the market to reward well positioned growth portfolios, and they see no signs of it slowing at this stage. However, one of their ongoing focal points is the risk/reward metric, thus they retain a relatively high proportion of cash in the portfolio. They also note that the Fund is well diversified, with 20 individual holdings spanning 6 broad industry sectors and no position accounting for more than 7% of the total Fund. |
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