NEWS

8 Feb 2019 - Hedge Clippings | The fallout from the Hayne Royal Commission (and the top floor of NAB)
There was a varied response to Royal Commissioner Hayne's final report and recommendations - some saying it didn't go far enough by not banning vertical integration between wealth management and advice space, as well as not naming those it had referred for prosecution, while others, and in particular mortgage brokers, said it went too far.
We'd have to say Mr Hayne came down particularly harshly on mortgage brokers, who have become an entrenched part of the housing finance system over the past 20 years, particularly since Aussie Home Loans switched from claiming "We'll save ya" as a low cost mortgage originator to becoming a broker owned by the CBA. Yet he didn't recommend a ban on Vertical Integration to limit financial advisors who in reality are a sales and distribution channel of the finance and insurance product issuers such as AMP.
Overall, while looking at vertical integration, the HRC didn't really touch on many of the conflicts and circular requirements within the distribution and research processes operating in the managed fund sector. Having said that, the disclosure and transparency requirements on actual dealer group ownership he has proposed are overdue and welcome.
Overall the market told the real story as it invariably does, with the banks and AMP enjoying a significant rally, and mortgage brokers falling off a cliff.
Maybe there were greater expectations after the public shellacking the industry and specific individuals received during the public hearings. Maybe what everyone wanted was a public lynching, with crowds around the guillotine, but in reality they got that - Directors, CEOs and Chairmen, with tarnished reputations, out the door. We will wait to see the outcome of the twenty-something recommendations for prosecution of criminal conduct, but it is likely to keep the lawyers happy.
However, now politicians will have their say, and with only 10 sitting days prior to the budget, anything can happen. The government is hoping it can adhere to the motto "Festina Lente" (which as I'm sure you would know translated means "Hasten Slowly"), while the opposition can't wait for election time (Festina, Festina, Festina!).
Before we leave the Hayne Royal Commission, one of its side effects has been to slow housing credit, and with it property prices, such that the NAB's Consumer Anxiety Index is at a three year high (probably a notch or two lower than NAB's boardroom anxiety). Consumer confidence is fickle and slows consumer spending, such that the RBA's cautionary comments have lead to a revision of the future of rate rises. While there may be some borrowers hoping for a rate cut, it doesn't signify a great economic outlook.
Casting a view globally there are multiple clocks ticking away as countdowns take place. A countdown to the next stage of US govt shutdown, a countdown to US/China tariffs, a countdown to Brexit and, just so we're not left out, a countdown to the Federal election.
No wonder the Consumer Anxiety Index is high. At least NAB got that right!

8 Feb 2019 - Performance Report: Wheelhouse Global Equities Income Fund
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Fund Overview | To pursue this objective, the Investment Manager is responsible for actively managing, monitoring and tailoring the integration of derivative contracts alongside the Morningstar Portfolio, while taking into account changing market and stock specific conditions. The Investment Manager is responsible for maximising the structural benefits of short option positions (lowered Volatility, improved capital preservation, higher income generation), whilst mitigating, minimising and monitoring the structural negatives (variable market exposure, option expiries, collateral management and asymmetric return profiles). In addition, long derivatives positions are also used to enhance the capital preservation characteristics of the Fund in more extreme market movements. As a consequence of the integration of Derivatives, returns of the strategy, intra-cycle, are expected to vary from the underlying Morningstar Portfolio due to these characteristics. For example in weak markets, or in extended sideways markets, the Fund is expected to outperform relative to the Morningstar Portfolio. Conversely in strong positive markets the Fund is expected to underperform. |
Manager Comments | Wheelhouse believe the change in market dynamics over the past 12 months reflects for the most part the change in investor perception of risk (from Fear of Missing Out to Fear of Losing Money), plus a recognition of greater uncertainty with regards to the global economic cycle. They noted that, as evidenced in 2018, they believe their approach of investing in quality global businesses, combined with enhanced income generation and active downside protection, leaves them well placed to deliver on their retiree-focused objectives. |
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8 Feb 2019 - Performance Report: Bennelong Concentrated Australian Equities Fund
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Fund Overview | The overriding objective of the Concentrated Australian Equities Fund is to seek investment opportunities which are under-appreciated and have the potential to deliver positive earnings, while satisfying our stringent quality criteria. Bennelong's investment process combines bottom-up fundamental analysis together with proprietary investment tools which are used to build and maintain high quality portfolios that are risk aware. The portfolio typically consists of 20-35 high-conviction stocks from the S&P/ASX 300 Index. The Fund may invest in securities listed on other exchanges where such securities relate to ASX-listed securities. Derivative instruments are mainly used to replicate underlying positions and hedge market and company specific risks. |
Manager Comments | Detractors over the December quarter included Aristocrat Leisure, Flight Centre, Corporate Travel Management and BWX Limited. Positive contributors included Costa Group and BHP Billiton. As at December 2018, the Fund's portfolio positioning was as follows - heavy orientation towards growth, heavy weighting in lower risk and defensively positioned businesses, underweight stance to cyclicals (particularly domestic cyclicals), no banks in the portfolio highlighting the Fund's index-unaware approach, significant exposure to offshore earnings (CSL, Aristocrat Leisure and Reliance Worldwide), overweight the resources sector, biased away from large caps relative to the benchmark and minimal exposure to leveraged balance sheets. Bennelong noted the sell-off throughout the December quarter came about with a shift in investor sentiment to one of 'risk-off', thus resulting in REITs, utilities, gold stocks and big-cap defensives such as Woolworths holding up well as investors sought safety. Importantly, they noted, company fundamentals mattered little. Bennelong believe safety (and returns) ultimately derive from company fundamentals, which include one's competitive position, balance sheet strength, cash-flow generation and growth prospects. They believe the risk-off sentiment will tire and fundamentals will ultimately win out. |
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8 Feb 2019 - Performance Report: 4D Global Infrastructure Fund
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Fund Overview | The fund will be managed as a single portfolio of listed global infrastructure securities including regulated utilities in gas, electricity and water, transport infrastructure such as airports, ports, road and rail as well as communication assets such as the towers and satellite sectors. The portfolio is intended to have exposure to both developed and emerging market opportunities, with country risk assessed internally before any investment is considered. The maximum absolute position of an individual stock is 7% of the fund. |
Manager Comments | The strongest performer for December was Mexican airport operator GAP, up +13.1%, recovering from an oversold position in November. The weakest performer was US rail operator Norfolk Southern, down -11.2%, which was part of an overall weak end to the year for US equities as fears of a 2019 economic slowdown, coupled with concerns the Fed made a mistake in raising rates in December, weighed heavily on stocks. Despite the expectation of a slowing global macro environment, 4D believe it remains in positive territory and supportive of the Fund's overweight position in user pay assets which have a direct correlation to macro performance. However, ongoing geo-political concerns see the Fund maintain core exposure to quality defensive utilities. |
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7 Feb 2019 - Performance Report: Quay Global Real Estate Fund
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Fund Overview | The Fund will invest in a number of global listed real estate companies, groups or funds. The investment strategy is to make investments in real estate securities at a price that will deliver a real, after inflation, total return of 5% per annum (before costs and fees), inclusive of distributions over a longer-term period. The Investment Strategy is indifferent to the constraints of any index benchmarks and is relatively concentrated in its number of investments. The Fund is expected to own between 20 and 40 securities, and from time to time up to 20% of the portfolio maybe invested in cash. The Fund is $A un-hedged. |
Manager Comments | Quay noted the Fund wasn't immune to the sell-off in December as the panic in equity markets became much more widespread. The Fund returned -2.3% after a +3.2% gain from currency movements. The best geographies during the month were Hong Kong and the UK, while the worst were the US and Canada. Top contributors included Hysan and Wharf REIC (both HK, Diversified), while Chartwell (Canada, Healthcare) and RLJ (US, Hotels/Lodging) detracted the most. Late in the month Quay deployed some of their cash holdings to take advantage of the general price weakness and added Shurgard Self-Storage (Belgium, Storage) to the portfolio. Shurgard is the largest owner of storage assets across Europe. Quay noted they like storage because of the defensive nature of the cashflows and the low levels of stay in business capex. Quay believe that over the long-term SHUR will benefit from increased levels of product awareness across its European platform and very low levels of supply where the provision of storage space per capita across Europe is a fraction of the levels in the US and Australia. |
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7 Feb 2019 - The Imminent Rise of the Commercial Space Industry

7 Feb 2019 - Performance Report: NWQ Fiduciary Fund
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Fund Overview | The Fund aims to produce returns, after management fees and expenses of between 8% to 11% p.a. over rolling five-year periods. Furthermore, the Fund aims to achieve these returns with volatility that is a fraction of the Australian equity market, in order to smooth returns for investors. |
Manager Comments | The Fund returned -0.49% in December. NWQ say the final quarter of 2018 was reminiscent of the same period 10 years earlier during the Global Financial Crisis with sharp falls across the major indices. They noted few of the Fund's underlying managers were able to hedge out the full extent of the market's fall, thus contributing to the Fund's quarterly return of -6.05%. NWQ pointed out that the reason for this was that the types of stocks typically favoured by managers (i.e. momentum and low volatility) underperformed the types of stocks that are avoided or viewed as short candidates (i.e. value and higher-yield). This resulted in the Fund deviating from its historical profile where prior to the December quarter its average return in negative markets was +0.12%. However, given that years in which the Fund underperformed its historical average in the past (i.e. 2014 and 2016) were almost always followed by years of outperformance (i.e. 2015 and 2017), NWQ remain positive the Fund will once again revert to the mean and make up for the December quarter's losses. |
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6 Feb 2019 - Performance Report: Loftus Peak Global Disruption Fund
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Fund Overview | The investment process involves a combination of top-down analysis with fundamental bottom-up qualitative and quantitative research to derive a risk-adjusted discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation of companies in the target universe. The investment team will generally buy stocks from the pool of securities that are trading below Loftus Peaks' valuation and sell them when they are trading above Loftus Peak's valuation. The approach allows for both fundamental accounting information as well as market-oriented inputs to be factored into the portfolio construction process. Loftus Peak's model typically does not rely on leverage to deliver investment returns and specifically takes into account risk in the valuation process. Capital preservation can be managed by holding up to 50% cash. Index and currency options and futures may also be used to manage risk. |
Manager Comments | The Fund returned -5.49% in December, with the largest detractors being Nvidia, Alibaba and Baidu. Key contributors included Tencent, Broadcom and Qualcomm. The value of the Fund's USD positions rose after the AUD depreciated 3.75% against the USD during the month. As at 31 December 2018, the Fund carried a foreign currency exposure of 99%. The Fund is 94% invested in 22 holdings which the manager considers likely outperformers. The balance is cash. The Fund's top 5 holdings are Tencent (7.7% of the portfolio), Apple (7.4%), Nvidia (7.3%), Alibaba (7.1%) and Qualcomm (6.8%). |
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5 Feb 2019 - Australian property - harsh comparisons from history - part 1

5 Feb 2019 - Performance Report: Bennelong Australian Equities Fund
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Fund Overview | The Bennelong Australian Equities Fund seeks quality investment opportunities which are under-appreciated and have the potential to deliver positive earnings. The investment process combines bottom-up fundamental analysis with proprietary investment tools that are used to build and maintain high quality portfolios that are risk aware. The investment team manages an extensive company/industry contact program which helps identify and verify various investment opportunities. The companies within the portfolio are primarily selected from, but not limited to, the S&P/ASX 300 Index. The Fund may invest in securities listed on other exchanges where such securities relate to the ASX-listed securities. The Fund typically holds between 25-60 stocks with a maximum net targeted position of an individual stock of 6%. |
Manager Comments | Detractors over the quarter included Aristocrat Leisure, Corporate Travel Management and Flight Centre. Key contributors included Costa Group, Goodman Group and BHP Billiton. Bennelong noted the sell-off throughout the December quarter came about with a shift in investor sentiment to one of 'risk-off', thus resulting in REITs, utilities, gold stocks and big-cap defensives such as Woolworths holding up well as investors sought safety. Importantly, they noted, company fundamentals mattered little. Bennelong believe safety (and returns) ultimately derive from company fundamentals, which include one's competitive position, balance sheet strength, cash-flow generation and growth prospects. They believe the risk-off sentiment will tire and fundamentals will ultimately win out. |
More Information |