NEWS
6 Aug 2018 - Tomas Capital Annual Letter
6 Aug 2018 - Performance Report: Bennelong Concentrated Australian Equities Fund
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Fund Overview | The overriding objective of the Concentrated Australian Equities Fund is to seek investment opportunities which are under-appreciated and have the potential to deliver positive earnings, while satisfying our stringent quality criteria. Bennelong's investment process combines bottom-up fundamental analysis together with proprietary investment tools which are used to build and maintain high quality portfolios that are risk aware. The portfolio typically consists of 20-35 high-conviction stocks from the S&P/ASX 300 Index. The Fund may invest in securities listed on other exchanges where such securities relate to ASX-listed securities. Derivative instruments are mainly used to replicate underlying positions and hedge market and company specific risks. |
Manager Comments | The Fund returned +13.81% over the quarter, outperforming the Index by +5.34%. The Fund benefited from strong returns from some of its largest holdings; CSL, Reliance Worldwide and Aristocrat Leisure. Bennelong noted these names typify the kind of stocks in which they seek to invest, all are high quality growth companies that proved again this quarter to have better than expected earnings prospects. The Fund is a concentrated portfolio of BAEP's highest conviction stock ideas. It is 'index unaware' and thus able to avoid large benchmark weights if considered appropriate. Over the quarter the Fund's underweight position in the banking sector (less than 1% of the portfolio) contributed to relative performance. |
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3 Aug 2018 - Hedge Clippings, 3 August 2018
David Murray takes (yet another) tilt at ASIC
David Murray's antipathy towards ASIC goes back a long way so it was always going to be interesting to see if he would temper his comments once he took the chair at AMP.
Far from being conciliatory, this week he upped the argument considerably, whilst conveniently forgetting, or more correctly ignoring, the fact that AMP's track record with the regulator is less than exemplary.
For example, the chairman and board lying to ASIC is not something one would really like to have on one's corporate tombstone - or CV.
Neither is charging investors for services not received, nor consistently favouring in-house and underperforming products, and thereby making a mockery of the term "independent financial advice".
One presumes that David Murray's approach to ASIC follows the line that the best form of defence is "attack, attack, attack", or that other well tried defence, "deny, deny, deny".
There's no doubting that the level of compliance and regulation required by ASX listed companies (and unlisted ones if it comes to that) is significantly greater than it once was, but how each one implements ASIC's guidance can vary from company to company. What is quite obvious is that AMP's previous chair and the board took a very detailed and hands-on approach to management, and as the record shows, quite simply failed in the execution.
Going forward expect more entrenched criticism of ASIC from David Murray, but what will now be interesting will be who he appoints as CEO, and how they both manage to change the culture, practice and business model at AMP (assuming Murray intends to do so).
The market and the AMP share price will no doubt tell the story over time.
Meanwhile, next week sees a resumption of the Hayne Royal Commission, this time around focusing on the Superannuation sector. No one is likely to be surprised (although they might be shocked) at the revelations that will no doubt be exposed.
3 Aug 2018 - Performance Report: 4D Global Infrastructure Fund
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Fund Overview | The fund will be managed as a single portfolio of listed global infrastructure securities including regulated utilities in gas, electricity and water, transport infrastructure such as airports, ports, road and rail as well as communication assets such as the towers and satellite sectors. The portfolio is intended to have exposure to both developed and emerging market opportunities, with country risk assessed internally before any investment is considered. The maximum absolute position of an individual stock is 7% of the fund. |
Manager Comments | 4D Infrastructure noted June was a difficult month for the Fund's emerging market exposure, hit by currency concerns on the back of rising US rates as well as geo-political issues around trade wars and elections. However, 4D Infrastructure's opinion is that the fundamentals for these names remain solid. The strongest performer for June was China Resources Gas, up +19.3% as the gas conversion theme continues to develop in China. The weakest performer was Chinese toll road operator Anhui Expressway, down -13.7% which the manager expects was driven by concerns around the trade wars with the USA. Given the global macro environment, 4D Infrastructure remain overweight user pay assets which have a direct correlation to macro strength. However, the Fund maintains core exposure to quality defensive utility assets due to ongoing geo-political concerns. |
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2 Aug 2018 - Caught in the Crossfire
31 Jul 2018 - Performance Report: Newgate Absolute Return Fund
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Fund Overview | The investment manager uses an initial screening process to highlight securities within their target investment universe where there are likely to be errors in market expectations and where they could change to impact security prices. A detailed research process is then undertaken and integrated with financial analysis to determine a sustainable yield and fundamental discounted cash flow valuation for each security. The investment manager's analysis of a security will involve a review of potential key drivers such as operational outlook, inflation and interest rate expectations, regulatory environment, tax structuring, position in capital expenditure cycle and capital structure. The goal is to understand how a company is positioned in terms of its growth and risk profile. The Fund does not undertake a long range forecasting or attempt to arrive at a precise conclusion about a company's long term valuation. Instead, the investment team seeks to understand the fundamental agents of change impacting a company and its environment and use this to determine how they will impact a company's economics and market perception of value. The Fund intends to use leverage to enhance returns to investors and has a policy of limiting leverage to 50%. The Fund may make use of derivatives, mainly to reduce risk or gain exposure to other types of investments. |
Manager Comments | The Newgate Absolute Return Fund ended the financial year up +41.00% versus the Index's +13.01%. The Fund has returned +22.38% per annum since inception in August 2016, outperforming the Index by +11.78% on an annualised basis. The Fund's Sharpe and Sortino ratios for performance since inception, 1.68 and 4.15 respectively, highlight the Fund's ability to achieve superior risk-adjusted returns whilst ensuring investors' capital is protected. In addition, the Fund's cumulative down-capture ratio since inception emphasises the Fund's ability to perform well in falling markets. |
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31 Jul 2018 - Performance Report: Bennelong Australian Equities Fund
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Fund Overview | The Bennelong Australian Equities Fund seeks quality investment opportunities which are under-appreciated and have the potential to deliver positive earnings. The investment process combines bottom-up fundamental analysis with proprietary investment tools that are used to build and maintain high quality portfolios that are risk aware. The investment team manages an extensive company/industry contact program which helps identify and verify various investment opportunities. The companies within the portfolio are primarily selected from, but not limited to, the S&P/ASX 300 Index. The Fund may invest in securities listed on other exchanges where such securities relate to the ASX-listed securities. The Fund typically holds between 25-60 stocks with a maximum net targeted position of an individual stock of 6%. |
Manager Comments | Over the quarter the Fund returned +14.96%, with performance benefiting from strong returns from a number of the Fund's holdings. These included CSL, Reliance Worldwide and Aristocrat Leisure. Bennelong noted these companies typify the kind of stocks in which the Fund seeks to invest; all are high quality growth companies that proved again this quarter to have better than expected earnings prospects. Bennelong also highlight the significance of the Fund's high conviction strategy in allowing them to be underweight, and thus avoid, the underperformance of the banking sector which makes up approximately 23% of the total value of the market. |
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30 Jul 2018 - Performance Report: ARCO Absolute Trust
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Fund Overview | The Fund's bias is likely to be net long under normal market conditions, with the core strategy being to construct a portfolio of listed equity securities priced at levels that do not adequately reflect their underlying value. The Fund will seek to boost returns and limit potential market downside by selective short selling of individual stocks which are priced at levels that are viewed as materially above their underlying value. The Fund will also use certain trading strategies both within its core portfolio (through rebalancing stock weights and overall market exposure in response to price movements) and in certain other situations (typically of a shorter-duration and/or opportunistic nature) with the objective of further increasing returns. *Formerly the Optimal Australia Absolute Trust |
Manager Comments | For the 2018 fiscal year, the Trust's long portfolio comfortably outperformed the ASX200 Accumulation Index. ARCO noted the short portfolio was, perhaps predictably, a drag on returns in a market up 13% for the year - although doing its job to hedge market exposure and the volatility of investor returns. The Fund's return for June was -0.67%. During the month, long positions in Caltex, Link, Computershare, Fairfax and BHP contributed positively. The short portfolio broadly detracted from performance, primarily via ARCO's bank and healthcare exposure. The Trust's Index Futures ('insurance') position was also a drag on performance. |
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27 Jul 2018 - Hedge Clippings, 27 July 2018
The Royal Commission and the Boiling Frog
Hedge Clippings is reminded of the old adage of the boiling frog - which for those not familiar with it went as follows: If you put a frog into a pot of cold water and put it over a low flame for a long time, the frog would eventually end up "poached". However, if the frog was dropped into a pot of already boiling water it would instantly react by jumping out, and be saved.
In financial services parlance the industry has been on a long slow journey towards being poached, although maybe the Hayne Royal Commission has arrived just in time to create a "boiling frog" moment which will result in it being saved - although not without a severe scorching, and only if the powers that be, and those in charge at the big end of town, take the opportunity to change.
The (long overdue) Hayne Royal Commission has shone - or is shining - a welcome (depending on where one stands) torch on every aspect of the financial services sector. This has now been followed by the Productivity Commission's 500+ page report into Superannuation, particularly focusing on fees and poor performance, and with suggestions of a Top Ten "Best in Show" default system. Now, not surprisingly, ASIC is going to give added focus on the sector, whilst Treasury has also weighed into the debate.
Why has this been able to occur?
Simply because the majority of consumers are not financially literate, and of those that are many have the knowledge to be "self-directed". Meanwhile, most (although not all) of those heading up the industry are very financially literate, and stand, or stood, to make a motza out of the system, the lack of real scrutiny, and a lack of ethics.
Whilst easy to point the finger at the financial advisor actually providing advice to the consumer, the reality is that the real cause is the problem is the systematic and conflicted structure of the industry - be it banking, superannuation, mortgage broking or financial advice. The vast majority of advisors would prefer to give their clients independent financial advice - as evidenced by the significant numbers choosing to do so by moving to an independent AFS licensee.
Back to the Royal Commission. Round 5 is due to start on 6th August, focusing on superannuation, and will run for 2 weeks.
Round 6, slated for 10 September, will cast its eye on Insurance, while Round 7 on the 19th November will focus on policy questions arising from rounds 1-6. In between time the CEO's from the big end of town will get their time in the witness box, and anecdotal evidence suggests their minions are putting in long hours beavering away to make sure it won't be too uncomfortable for them.
Some hope.
Talking of hope, Hayne's preliminary report is/was due no later than 30 September, and the final report due by 1 February (2019). Happy Christmas holidays to Mr Hayne and his team trying to meet that deadline.
27 Jul 2018 - Performance Report: Bennelong Twenty20 Australian Equities Fund
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Fund Overview | The Fund is managed as one portfolio but comprises and combines two separately managed exposures: 1. An investment in the top 20 stocks of the markets, which the Fund achieves by taking an indexed position in the S&P/ASX 20 Index; and 2. An investment in the stocks beyond the S&P/ASX 20 Index. This exposure is managed on an active basis using a fundamental core approach. The Fund may also invest in securities expected to be listed on the ASX, securities listed or expected to be listed on other exchanges where such securities relate to ASX-listed securities.Derivative instruments may be used to replicate underlying positions and hedge market and company specific risks. The companies within the portfolio are primarily selected from, but not limited to, the S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index. The Fund typically holds between 40-55 stocks and thus is considered to be highly concentrated. This means that investors should expect to see high short-term volatility. The Fund seeks to achieve growth over the long-term, therefore the minimum suggested investment timeframe is 5 years. |
Manager Comments | In their quarterly report, Bennelong noted the following: they see relatively attractive valuations in equities, improving investor sentiment and markets, and the potential for a market correction. Bennelong believe that, with big-picture macro risks abound, including rate rises, trade wars, Chinese financial instabilities and excessive Australian consumer leverage, the stock market will ultimately manage its way through these issues. Bennelong point out that corrections are inevitable, however, the risk is being underinvested over the long term rather than the occasional correction. |
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