NEWS
20 Jan 2022 - Performance Report: Airlie Australian Share Fund
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| Fund Overview | The Fund is long-only with a bottom-up focus. It has a concentrated portfolio of 15-35 stocks (target 25). The fund has a maximum cash holding of 10% with an aim to be fully invested. Airlie employs a prudent investment approach that identifies companies based on their financial strength, attractive durable business characteristics and the quality of their management teams. Airlie invests in these companies when their view of their fair value exceeds the prevailing market price. It is jointly managed by Matt Williams and Emma Fisher. Matt has over 25 years' investment experience and formerly held the role of Head of Equities and Portfolio Manager at Perpetual Investments. Emma has over 8 years' investment experience and has previously worked as an investment analyst within the Australian equities team at Fidelity International and, prior to that, at Nomura Securities. |
| Manager Comments | The Airlie Australian Share Fund has a track record of 3 years and 7 months and therefore comparison over all market conditions and against the fund's peers is limited. However, since inception in June 2018, the fund has outperformed the ASX 200 Total Return Index, providing investors with an annualised return of 14.51%, compared with the index's return of 10.09% over the same time period. On a calendar basis the fund has had 1 negative annual return in the 3 years and 7 months since its inception. Its largest drawdown was -23.8% lasting 9 months, occurring between February 2020 and November 2020 when the index fell by a maximum of -26.75%. The Manager has delivered these returns with -0.44% less volatility than the index, contributing to a Sharpe ratio which has fallen below 1 twice and currently sits at 0.91 since inception. The fund has provided positive monthly returns 100% of the time in rising markets, and 15% of the time when the market was negative, contributing to an up capture ratio since inception of 114% and a down capture ratio of 90%. |
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20 Jan 2022 - Performance Report: 4D Global Infrastructure Fund
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| Fund Overview | The fund is managed as a single portfolio including regulated utilities in gas, electricity and water, transport infrastructure such as airports, ports, road and rail, as well as communication assets such as the towers and satellite sectors. The portfolio is intended to have exposure to both developed and emerging market opportunities, with country risk assessed internally before any investment is considered. The maximum absolute position of an individual stock is 7% of the fund. |
| Manager Comments | The 4D Global Infrastructure Fund has a track record of 5 years and 10 months and has outperformed the S&P Global Infrastructure TR Index (AUD) since inception in March 2016, providing investors with a return of 9.75%, compared with the index's return of 8.45% over the same time period. On a calendar basis the fund has had 1 negative annual return in the 5 years and 10 months since its inception. Its largest drawdown was -19.77% lasting 1 year and 10 months, occurring between February 2020 and December 2021 when the index fell by a maximum of -24.67%. The Manager has delivered these returns with -0.54% less volatility than the index, contributing to a Sharpe ratio which has fallen below 1 five times and currently sits at 0.75 since inception. The fund has provided positive monthly returns 95% of the time in rising markets, and 14% of the time when the market was negative, contributing to an up capture ratio since inception of 102% and a down capture ratio of 94%. |
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20 Jan 2022 - Distinctively different and driven to perform Unlocking the opportunity of 'special situations'
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Distinctively different and driven to perform Unlocking the opportunity of 'special situations' Colins St Asset Management January 2022
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Michael Goldberg (Managing Director / Portfolio Manager) and Rob Hay (Head of Distribution & Investor Relations) from Collins St Asset Management share insights into how 'special situation' investment opportunities have been implemented within the Collins St Value Fund. Recorded 27 October 2021.
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20 Jan 2022 - Mineral Resources
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Mineral Resources Emma Fisher, Airlie Funds Management 12 November 2021 The cheapest lithium stock in the market. I know, I know. Bullish thought pieces on lithium are as dime a dozen today as Warren Buffett quotes in a fund manager investor letter. However, we think there is a standout sleeping giant in lithium that is incredibly cheap right now and worth discussing. The precipitous fall in the iron ore price since August has wiped more than 35% off the value of Mineral Resources (ASX:MIN), which now has a market cap of roughly $7.3 billion. We are astounded at the valuations the market is willing to ascribe to 'pure-play' lithium companies and consider Mineral Resources the cheapest lithium stock in the market. Let's compare it to one such pure-play peer, Pilbara Minerals (ASX:PLS), which has an asset right next door to Mineral Resources' Wodgina mine. Pilbara Minerals has a market cap of roughly $7 billion, so basically the pair are neck and neck in valuation. Comparing Mineral Resources with Pilbara MineralsPilbara Minerals' assets add up to 536 kt p.a. of spodumene capacity, consisting of two mines: What about future expansion plans?Pilbara Minerals is aiming to expand production to 1 million tonnes p.a. of spodumene (so roughly double what it produces today). The company has given no firm dates on these expansion plans so we consider them longer-dated (five-plus years). What is $1 billion in lithium earnings worth?Lithium producers are trading on elevated multiples. If we look at FY23F EV/EBITDA for major lithium producers globally, multiples range from 11 times to a whopping 31 times for Ganfeng, with a median EV/EBITDA of 15.5 times.
If we ascribed all of Mineral Resources' current enterprise value to its future lithium EBITDA potential of $1 billion, it equates to 7 times. Valuing the lithium assets in line with the low end of peer multiples, at 11x EBITDA, gives $58 per share value versus the current share price of $38. In short, the fear around a falling iron ore price has created a unique opportunity to buy the cheapest lithium stock in the world, Mineral Resources. A quick Google Translate from English into Buffett yields: "be greedy when others are fearful". Written By Emma Fisher, Airlie Portfolio Manager |
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Funds operated by this manager: Airlie Australian Share Fund |
19 Jan 2022 - Performance Report: Delft Partners Global High Conviction Strategy
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| Fund Overview | The quantitative model is proprietary and designed in-house. The critical elements are Valuation, Momentum, and Quality (VMQ) and every stock in the global universe is scored and ranked. Verification of the quant model scores is then cross checked by fundamental analysis in which a company's Accounting policies, Governance, and Strategic positioning is evaluated. The manager believes strategy is suited to investors seeking returns from investing in global companies, diversification away from Australia and a risk aware approach to global investing. It should be noted that this is a strategy in an IMA format and is not offered as a fund. An IMA solution can be a more cost and tax effective solution, for clients who wish to own fewer stocks in a long only strategy. |
| Manager Comments | The Delft Partners Global High Conviction Strategy has a track record of 10 years and 6 months and has outperformed the Global Equity Index since inception in August 2011, providing investors with a return of 15.92%, compared with the index's return of 14.92% over the same time period. On a calendar basis the strategy has had 2 negative annual returns in the 10 years and 6 months since its inception. Its largest drawdown was -13.33% lasting 12 months, occurring between February 2020 and February 2021 when the index fell by a maximum of -13.19%. The Manager has delivered higher returns but with higher volatility than the index, resulting in a Sharpe ratio which has fallen below 1 three times and currently sits at 1.17 since inception. The strategy has provided positive monthly returns 88% of the time in rising markets, and 14% of the time when the market was negative, contributing to an up capture ratio since inception of 100% and a down capture ratio of 93%. |
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19 Jan 2022 - Performance Report: Bennelong Long Short Equity Fund
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| Fund Overview | In a typical environment the Fund will hold around 70 stocks comprising 35 pairs. Each pair contains one long and one short position each of which will have been thoroughly researched and are selected from the same market sector. Whilst in an ideal environment each stock's position will make a positive return, it is the relative performance of the pair that is important. As a result the Fund can make positive returns when each stock moves in the same direction provided the long position outperforms the short one in relative terms. However, if neither side of the trade is profitable, strict controls are required to ensure losses are limited. The Fund uses no derivatives and has no currency exposure. The Fund has no hard stop loss limits, instead relying on the small average position size per stock (1.5%) and per pair (3%) to limit exposure. Where practical pairs are always held within the same sector to limit cross sector risk, and positions can be held for months or years. The Bennelong Market Neutral Fund, with same strategy and liquidity is available for retail investors as a Listed Investment Company (LIC) on the ASX. |
| Manager Comments | The Bennelong Long Short Equity Fund has a track record of 20 years and 1 month and has outperformed the ASX 200 Total Return Index since inception in February 2002, providing investors with a return of 14.22%, compared with the index's return of 8.42% over the same time period. On a calendar basis the fund has had 3 negative annual returns in the 20 years and 1 month since its inception. Its largest drawdown was -23.77% lasting 15 months, occurring between September 2020 and December 2021 when the index fell by a maximum of -15.05%. The Manager has delivered these returns with -0.35% less volatility than the index, contributing to a Sharpe ratio which has fallen below 1 over five times and currently sits at 0.84 since inception. The fund has provided positive monthly returns 65% of the time in rising markets, and 63% of the time when the market was negative, contributing to an up capture ratio since inception of 6% and a down capture ratio of -144%. |
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19 Jan 2022 - Performance Report: Insync Global Quality Equity Fund
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| Fund Overview | Insync invests in a concentrated portfolio of high quality companies that possess long 'runways' of future growth benefitting from Megatrends. Megatrends are multiyear structural and disruptive changes that transform the way we live our daily lives and result from a convergence of different underlying trends including innovation, politics, demographics, social attitudes and lifestyles. They provide important tailwinds to individual stocks and sectors, that reside within them. Insync believe this delivers exponential earnings growth ahead of market expectations. Insync screens the universe of 40,000 listed global companies to just 150 that it views as superior. This includes profitability, balance sheet performance, shareholder focus and valuations. 20-40 companies are then chosen for the portfolio. These reflect the best outcomes from further analysis using a proprietary DCF valuation, implied growth modelling, and free cash flow yield; alongside management, competitor, and industry scrutiny. The Fund may hold some cash (maximum of 5%), derivatives, currency contracts for hedging purposes, and American and/or Global Depository Receipts. It is however, for all intents and purposes, a 'long-only' fund, remaining fully invested irrespective of market cycles. |
| Manager Comments | The Insync Global Quality Equity Fund has a track record of 12 years and 4 months and has consistently outperformed the Global Equity Index since inception in October 2009, providing investors with a return of 14.91%, compared with the index's return of 12.24% over the same time period. On a calendar basis the fund has had 1 negative annual return in the 12 years and 4 months since its inception. Its largest drawdown was -12.64% lasting 7 months, occurring between September 2018 and April 2019 when the index fell by a maximum of -10.57%. The Manager has delivered higher returns but with higher volatility than the index, resulting in a Sharpe ratio which has never fallen below 1 and currently sits at 1.12 since inception. The fund has provided positive monthly returns 82% of the time in rising markets, and 22% of the time when the market was negative, contributing to an up capture ratio since inception of 83% and a down capture ratio of 73%. |
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19 Jan 2022 - 10k Words - January Edition
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10k Words - January Edition Equitable Investors January 2022 Happy New Year to all! There's plenty of chart action in January covering inflation and interest rates. The implied probability of a Federal Reserve rate hike in March 2022 of at least 25 basis points has surged, as @charliebilello highlighted on Jan 6 (and had to update for a further surge a day later). Barclays set out the break-even rates (break-even inflation is the difference between the nominal yield on a fixed-rate investment and the real yield on a similar inflation-linked investment). On equities we see "crowded trades" and retail sentiment take a dive, courtesy of Morgan Stanley and @lizannsonders. Indeed Hiring Lab provides us a little insight into why unemployed Americans aren't hunting for work with urgency. Meanwhile, the number of Australians thinking this year will be better than last has slumped according to a Roy Morgan poll. Federal Reserve Rate Hike Probabilities (Jan 6, 2021) Source: @charliebilello
Federal Reserve Rate Hike Probabilities (Jan 6, 2021) Source: @charliebilello
Break-evens on inflation-indexed bonds Source: Barclays via Bloomberg
Collapse in "Crowded Stocks" Source: Morgan Stanley via The Daily Shot
Goldman Sachs Retail Sentiment Index Source: Ann Sonders
Why unemployed aren't showing urgency to find a job Source: Indeed Hiring Lab
Only 37% of Australians expect 2022 will be 'better' than 2021 - down 22% points on a year ago
Source: Roy Morgan Disclaimer Nothing in this blog constitutes investment advice - or advice in any other field. Neither the information, commentary or any opinion contained in this blog constitutes a solicitation or offer by Equitable Investors Pty Ltd (Equitable Investors) or its affiliates to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments. Nor shall any such security be offered or sold to any person in any jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation, purchase, or sale would be unlawful under the securities laws of such jurisdiction. The content of this blog should not be relied upon in making investment decisions.Any decisions based on information contained on this blog are the sole responsibility of the visitor. In exchange for using this blog, the visitor agree to indemnify Equitable Investors and hold Equitable Investors, its officers, directors, employees, affiliates, agents, licensors and suppliers harmless against any and all claims, losses, liability, costs and expenses (including but not limited to legal fees) arising from your use of this blog, from your violation of these Terms or from any decisions that the visitor makes based on such information. This blog is for information purposes only and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice. The information on this blog does not constitute a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. Although this material is based upon information that Equitable Investors considers reliable and endeavours to keep current, Equitable Investors does not assure that this material is accurate, current or complete, and it should not be relied upon as such. Any opinions expressed on this blog may change as subsequent conditions vary. Equitable Investors does not warrant, either expressly or implied, the accuracy or completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained on this blog and does not warrant that the functions contained in this blog will be uninterrupted or error-free, that defects will be corrected, or that the blog will be free of viruses or other harmful components.Equitable Investors expressly disclaims all liability for errors and omissions in the materials on this blog and for the use or interpretation by others of information contained on the blog Funds operated by this manager: |
18 Jan 2022 - Performance Report: Bennelong Kardinia Absolute Return Fund
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| Fund Overview | There is a slight bias to large cap stocks on the long side of the portfolio, although in a rising market the portfolio will tend to hold smaller caps, including resource stocks, more frequently. On the short side, the portfolio is particularly concentrated, with stock selection limited by both liquidity and the difficulty of borrowing stock in smaller cap companies. Short positions are only taken when there is a high conviction view on the specific stock. The Fund uses derivatives in a limited way, mainly selling short dated covered call options to generate additional income. These typically have less than 30 days to expiry, and are usually 5% to 10% out of the money. ASX SPI futures and index put options can be used to hedge the portfolio's overall net position. The Fund's discretionary investment strategy commences with a macro view of the economy and direction to establish the portfolio's desired market exposure. Following this detailed sector and company research is gathered from knowledge of the individual stocks in the Fund's universe, with widespread use of broker research. Company visits, presentations and discussions with management at CEO and CFO level are used wherever possible to assess management quality across a range of criteria. |
| Manager Comments | On a calendar basis the fund has had 2 negative annual returns in the 15 years and 10 months since its inception. Its largest drawdown was -11.71% lasting 2 years and 6 months, occurring between June 2018 and December 2020 when the index fell by a maximum of -26.75%. The Manager has delivered these returns with -6.52% less volatility than the index, contributing to a Sharpe ratio which has fallen below 1 five times and currently sits at 0.75 since inception. The fund has provided positive monthly returns 87% of the time in rising markets, and 34% of the time when the market was negative, contributing to an up capture ratio since inception of 17% and a down capture ratio of 49%. |
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18 Jan 2022 - Performance Report: Quay Global Real Estate Fund
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| Fund Overview | The Fund will invest in a number of global listed real estate companies, groups or funds. The investment strategy is to make investments in real estate securities at a price that will deliver a real, after inflation, total return of 5% per annum (before costs and fees), inclusive of distributions over a longer-term period. The Investment Strategy is indifferent to the constraints of any index benchmarks and is relatively concentrated in its number of investments. The Fund is expected to own between 20 and 40 securities, and from time to time up to 20% of the portfolio maybe invested in cash. The Fund is $A un-hedged. |
| Manager Comments | The Quay Global Real Estate Fund has a track record of 5 years and 11 months and has consistently outperformed the S&P/ASX 200 A-REIT Index since inception in January 2016, providing investors with a return of 10.75%, compared with the index's return of 9.96% over the same time period. On a calendar basis the fund has had 1 negative annual return in the 5 years and 11 months since its inception. Its largest drawdown was -19.68% lasting 16 months, occurring between February 2020 and June 2021 when the index fell by a maximum of -38.29%. The Manager has delivered these returns with -8.38% less volatility than the index, contributing to a Sharpe ratio which has fallen below 1 three times and currently sits at 0.84 since inception. The fund has provided positive monthly returns 78% of the time in rising markets, and 26% of the time when the market was negative, contributing to an up capture ratio since inception of 45% and a down capture ratio of 56%. |
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