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Fund Overview | Paragon's unique investment style, comprising thematic led idea generation followed with an in depth research effort, results in a concentrated portfolio of high conviction stocks. Conviction in bottom up analysis drives the investment case and ultimate position sizing: * Both quantitative analysis - probability weighted high/low/base case valuations - and qualitative analysis - company meetings, assessing management, the business model, balance sheet strength and likely direction of returns - collectively form Paragon's overall view for each investment case. * Paragon will then allocate weighting to each investment opportunity based on a risk/reward profile, capped to defined investment parameters by market cap, which are continually monitored as part of Paragon's overall risk management framework. The objective of the Paragon Fund is to produce absolute returns in excess of 10% p.a. over a 3-5 year time horizon with a low correlation to the Australian equities market. |
Manager Comments | On a calendar year basis, the fund has only experienced a negative annual return once in the 9 years and 3 months since its inception. Over the past 12 months, the fund's largest drawdown was -27.05% vs the index's -6.35%, and since inception in March 2013 the fund's largest drawdown was -45.11% vs the index's maximum drawdown over the same period of -26.75%. The fund's maximum drawdown began in January 2018 and lasted 2 years and 7 months, reaching its lowest point during March 2020. The fund had completely recovered its losses by August 2020. The Manager has delivered these returns with 12.76% more volatility than the index, contributing to a Sharpe ratio which has fallen below 1 five times over the past five years and which currently sits at 0.47 since inception. The fund has provided positive monthly returns 69% of the time in rising markets and 44% of the time during periods of market decline, contributing to an up-capture ratio since inception of 107% and a down-capture ratio of 92%. |
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